NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	88		Excitement	9.3 [94]		MVP	Tony Battie (BOS): +18.4%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	2.4 [392]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -60.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.11	0.04	23	66%	0.26	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	9	75%	0.16	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Rex Chapman	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.11	0.02	0.06	-0.03	8	67%	0.19	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Toby Bailey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	9	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Todd Day	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	9	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3	-0.07	-0.23	0.00	7	43%	-0.10	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.61	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.61	-0.20	-0.43	-0.02	8	12%	-0.13	5	-0.48	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.18	0.18	-0.02	0.20	-0.00	6	50%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	1	133%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	55%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	20	61%	0.14	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.03
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.16	6	83%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.20	-0.13	-0.03	13	20%	-0.22	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.1,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.36	-0.36	-0.09	-0.27	0.00	21	50%	-0.08	5	-0.28	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	35.3	15.8	23.1	2.4	38.4	142.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +7.8%

BOS +8.4%

BOS +3.9%

BOS +25.4%

BOS +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	16.8	14.4	15.2	94.6	98.9	101.7
season	14.8	14.7		101.4	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.3	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.1	17.3	16.4	17.3	16.8
BOS	13.9	13.3	17.1	13.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	60	61	0.33	-0.83	1.15	-0.03	12	-15	27	17.1	16.1	1.04	14.7	13.6	1.08
Randy Livingston	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	0	-3	21.1	16.4	4.74	14.7	14.3	0.33
Tom Gugliotta	52	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-8	13	16.7	16.8	-0.07	15.7	12.7	2.98
Toby Bailey	2	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.01	-3	0	-3	22.5	16.6	5.86	16.7	14.3	2.39
Rodney Rogers	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	0	-3	15.4	17.4	-1.96	15.5	13.8	1.69
Luc Longley	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	3	-9	17.4	16.6	0.85	12.0	15.1	-3.09
Clifford Robinson	83	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.49	7	-10	17	16.7	17.7	-1.05	14.5	12.8	1.75
Todd Day	29	27	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	9	-21	17.7	16.3	1.40	11.3	15.6	-4.39
Jason Kidd	86	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-3	3	16.4	21.1	-4.74	14.3	14.7	-0.33
Rex Chapman	47	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-2	1	16.1	17.4	-1.29	14.7	14.1	0.55
Oliver Miller	49	49	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.39	-11	8	-19	16.8	16.7	0.15	14.0	14.8	-0.85

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	69	71	1.07	-0.57	1.65	0.58	17	-14	31	13.8	16.1	-2.36	16.9	16.2	0.76
Paul Pierce	73	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.48	5	-2	7	14.1	15.2	-1.07	17.6	14.0	3.63
Tony Battie	54	56	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.48	4	-1	5	14.2	14.5	-0.29	17.5	15.6	1.85
Kenny Anderson	83	82	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.46	-4	7	-11	14.4	13.7	0.77	16.5	18.5	-1.92
Antoine Walker	79	78	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	4	-5	15.1	9.9	5.17	16.4	18.7	-2.35
Dana Barros	9	11	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-4	11	13.7	14.4	-0.77	18.5	16.5	1.92
Vitaly Potapenko	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	0	3	13.5	15.2	-1.75	16.5	17.0	-0.53
Doug Overton	3	3	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	1	1	14.0	14.4	-0.37	9.3	17.0	-7.68
Danny Fortson	3	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	11.0	14.5	-3.47	22.5	16.5	5.99
Walter McCarty	16	17	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.07	-6	9	-15	15.9	14.0	1.84	14.0	17.4	-3.38
Calbert Cheaney	26	26	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.17	-10	13	-23	15.6	13.9	1.75	15.8	17.1	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.69,0.37,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.96,1	91.6%
PHI 104, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.55,0.58,1	91.2%
DET 64, BOS 66	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.78,0.95,1	90.7%