NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	64		Excitement	7.5 [322]		MVP	Ben Wallace (DET): +9.4%
Boston Celtics	66		Comeback	1.8 [652]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): -24.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	6	75%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Jon Barry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	5	-0.20	4	75%	0.06
Chucky Atkins	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22	-0.11	-0.14	-0.03	8	21%	-0.21	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.09	0.02	19	43%	-0.14	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25	-0.13	-0.12	-0.00	11	29%	-0.14	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	8	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.04	14	53%	0.12	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	15	52%	0.10	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	8	19%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.15,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	23	37%	-0.07	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	5	0%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	482.8	2.7	26.2	18.7	28.2	3.4	39.3	601.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.5%

DET -1.3%

BOS +12.8%

BOS +10.9%

DET -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	16.7	16.4	15.6	73.6	75.9	102.3
season	15.7	15.0		101.9	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.1	16.9	15.5	18.6	16.7
BOS	15.2	15.2	15.8	20.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	9	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	0	-2	14.3	16.9	-2.62	11.2	17.1	-5.90
Damon Jones	30	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	4	-10	18.2	15.9	2.37	16.1	16.6	-0.45
Michael Curry	53	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	1	-4	17.1	16.1	0.97	15.5	17.8	-2.25
Chucky Atkins	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-6	10	15.9	18.2	-2.37	16.6	16.1	0.45
Jerry Stackhouse	72	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-4	6	16.6	17.1	-0.47	16.8	14.4	2.45
Clifford Robinson	81	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.49	4	-6	10	16.5	19.7	-3.21	16.7	11.8	4.91
Corliss Williamson	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	1	-4	16.5	17.0	-0.45	17.0	15.4	1.66
Ben Wallace	77	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	4	-10	17.1	13.3	3.82	16.6	15.3	1.32

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	85	85	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	-3	8	16.3	21.5	-5.19	16.8	9.5	7.35
Eric Williams	69	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-9	20	17.3	13.1	4.25	17.4	13.4	4.05
Antoine Walker	84	84	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	0	2	16.6	11.0	5.62	17.0	8.0	8.99
Kenny Anderson	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	1	0	16.4	16.5	-0.07	17.5	14.3	3.16
Tony Battie	61	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	-1	4	15.0	19.8	-4.77	17.2	15.3	1.96
Rodney Rogers	45	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	8	-14	17.4	15.4	1.93	14.3	19.0	-4.70
Tony Delk	24	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	5	-8	15.8	16.7	-0.82	13.9	17.7	-3.76
Walter McCarty	3	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	5	-8	14.3	16.5	-2.17	9.5	16.8	-7.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 82, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.98,1	92.6%
CHA 89, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.99,1	91.8%
ATL 91, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.52,0.67,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.78,0.95,1	91.7%