NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	89		Excitement	7.1 [428]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +37.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	96		Comeback	1.7 [751]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -14.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Morrison	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.02	12	59%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Jake Voskuhl	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	7	44%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.03	11	46%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walter Herrmann	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.00	15	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	9	43%	-0.07	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.20	0.02	15	72%	0.39	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.01	25	64%	0.31	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.03	8	33%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	3	75%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	45%	0.04	5	-0.13	6	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	1.8	32.1	14.6	25.1	1.7	31.2	136.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +22.2%

SEA +21.6%

SEA +0.6%

SEA +3.0%

SEA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SEA	NBA	CHA	SEA	NBA
this game	15.5	16.1	15.4	97.8	105.5	104.5
season	15.7	15.4		101.7	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		108.3	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.8	18.7	16.3	14.9	15.5
SEA	16.0	14.9	15.0	18.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	35	35	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.05	2	-9	11	15.5	15.6	-0.01	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Matt Carroll	63	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-9	11	14.5	18.0	-3.54	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Derek Anderson	51	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	16.0	15.0	1.03	15.0	17.4	-2.38
Gerald Wallace	79	79	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-7	7	15.5	15.7	-0.14	16.1	15.9	0.21
Walter Herrmann	12	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	0	-7	15.7	15.5	0.14	15.9	16.1	-0.21
Raymond Felton	64	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-8	9	15.6	15.3	0.31	16.7	14.6	2.19
Brevin Knight	52	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	2	-11	15.7	15.4	0.24	16.5	15.5	1.08
Jake Voskuhl	39	38	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	1	-9	15.7	15.5	0.21	15.9	16.2	-0.35
Adam Morrison	60	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.26	-12	5	-17	16.0	14.6	1.47	16.4	15.4	1.01

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	55	56	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.31	16	-9	25	16.6	15.4	1.17	16.4	14.2	2.15
Rashard Lewis	80	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-1	9	16.3	14.7	1.56	15.7	14.2	1.50
Damien Wilkins	54	53	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-7	21	15.7	16.7	-1.02	16.5	14.2	2.30
Earl Watson	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	3	1	15.7	17.2	-1.50	15.4	16.0	-0.66
Mike Wilks	29	28	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	-1	9	18.1	15.1	2.99	16.5	15.1	1.32
Ray Allen	76	78	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.22	-1	8	-9	16.3	15.3	1.00	15.3	17.3	-2.05
Mickael Gelabale	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	2	3	12.6	16.6	-3.94	17.0	15.3	1.65
Johan Petro	21	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	8	-9	15.3	16.3	-1.06	13.5	16.1	-2.63
Luke Ridnour	14	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	17.4	15.9	1.57	13.0	16.0	-3.01
Andre Brown	7	7	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	11	-15	16.0	16.1	-0.11	20.3	15.2	5.13
Chris Wilcox	40	41	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	19	-31	15.4	16.6	-1.20	13.7	17.1	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 82, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.36,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	92.7%
MIL 82, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.98,1	92.6%
MIN 74, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	91.9%