NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	8.5 [174]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +12.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	1.5 [857]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -21.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.01	9	60%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	16	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	11	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamie Feick	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	23	53%	-0.03	5	-0.18	12	67%	-0.07
Keith Van Horn	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.18,-0.15,-0.21	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	14	59%	0.05	8	-0.27	6	83%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	9	64%	0.11	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.01	28	51%	0.10	4	-0.16	11	91%	0.13
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	6	43%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.06
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	9	50%	-0.00	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	9	35%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	29.2	15.7	27.1	1.7	39.1	137.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -21.2%

PHI +37.1%

PHI +32.4%

NJN -3.9%

PHI +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	13.4	15.2	94.1	100.0	101.7
season	15.5	15.0		102.1	99.5
opponent	15.5	14.7		98.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.4	13.3	15.5	15.6	14.9
PHI	13.4	13.8	12.2	14.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	36	36	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.13	6	-11	17	15.4	14.7	0.78	14.3	12.9	1.41
Scott Burrell	38	37	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-7	9	13.9	15.5	-1.58	13.9	13.2	0.69
Jim McIlvaine	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	12.8	15.4	-2.58	11.9	13.8	-1.90
Elliot Perry	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-3	1	21.6	14.6	7.00	16.4	13.3	3.13
Michael Cage	35	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-3	1	15.1	14.8	0.31	13.0	13.6	-0.60
Kendall Gill	60	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	15.1	14.8	0.30	13.1	13.8	-0.70
Johnny Newman	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-6	7	15.2	14.8	0.41	13.7	13.3	0.44
Jamie Feick	47	46	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-4	3	16.0	14.1	1.88	14.6	12.4	2.17
Stephon Marbury	94	92	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	14.4	20.7	-6.30	13.2	15.3	-2.09
Kerry Kittles	69	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	6	-17	14.9	15.1	-0.22	13.0	14.4	-1.39
Keith Van Horn	77	77	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.33	-12	7	-19	15.0	14.7	0.35	13.2	14.2	-1.03

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	67	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-10	25	13.3	13.7	-0.42	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Aaron McKie	63	62	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-5	15	12.6	14.8	-2.19	13.6	17.0	-3.43
Allen Iverson	84	86	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-4	13	13.4	13.6	-0.27	15.0	14.4	0.60
Matt Geiger	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.32	-4	9	-13	13.7	13.2	0.56	15.6	14.3	1.29
Tyrone Hill	41	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	1	3	13.3	13.5	-0.18	15.6	14.5	1.17
Eric Snow	67	68	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	11	-17	14.1	12.1	1.97	15.6	13.7	1.90
George Lynch	74	77	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	5	-5	13.3	13.8	-0.48	15.1	14.4	0.77
Larry Hughes	47	48	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	6	-7	13.5	13.4	0.16	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Billy Owens	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	7	-9	14.7	13.2	1.45	13.3	15.2	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.6,0.46,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.88,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 82, SAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,1	92.6%
CHI 86, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.58,0.73,0.64,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	92.4%
MIL 107, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.97,0.96,1	92.2%