NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	88		Excitement	4.8 [839]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +11.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	1.8 [655]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -12.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	16	53%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Todd Day	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Toby Bailey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	55%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Tom Gugliotta	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	16	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	15	37%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.04	0.05	12	81%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	81%	0.10	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.04
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	21	51%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	62.4	1.7	24.9	15.0	26.5	1.0	26.3	157.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +29.9%

SEA +16.8%

SEA +0.0%

SEA +3.4%

PHX -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	16.5	16.2	15.2	101.1	113.5	101.7
season	14.8	14.9		101.4	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		102.6	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	18.3	15.9	17.2	14.8	16.5
SEA	16.0	14.8	14.8	19.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toby Bailey	17	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-19	25	14.6	17.0	-2.43	14.9	16.5	-1.54
Mark West	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	11.8	16.8	-5.03	19.3	16.0	3.37
Randy Livingston	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	13.2	16.9	-3.70	16.3	16.2	0.16
Todd Day	12	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-13	13	14.0	16.9	-2.95	18.9	15.7	3.25
Clifford Robinson	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-6	-1	17.0	15.6	1.37	16.1	16.3	-0.23
Luc Longley	53	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-2	-9	17.5	15.1	2.43	16.5	15.8	0.65
Rodney Rogers	55	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	0	-13	15.9	17.6	-1.72	16.4	15.8	0.69
Rex Chapman	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	1	-15	17.2	14.9	2.30	16.2	16.1	0.10
Jason Kidd	78	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	5	-23	16.9	13.2	3.70	16.2	16.3	-0.16
Tom Gugliotta	60	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.16	-25	12	-37	16.8	15.9	0.94	15.4	17.9	-2.43

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	74	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-6	25	16.0	17.1	-1.05	16.5	16.8	-0.29
Gary Payton	81	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-5	23	15.9	19.6	-3.77	16.8	14.2	2.52
Greg Foster	50	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-2	17	16.8	15.4	1.39	15.6	17.8	-2.22
Vin Baker	59	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	-2	17	16.2	16.3	-0.11	17.6	14.2	3.41
Horace Grant	66	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	7	-1	15.4	18.4	-3.03	16.8	15.9	0.91
Rashard Lewis	41	42	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	3	7	17.9	14.8	3.08	16.2	16.8	-0.58
Emanual Davis	12	12	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	16	-19	18.9	15.8	3.15	15.0	16.8	-1.79
Ruben Patterson	51	49	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.17	-3	16	-19	15.2	17.5	-2.28	16.9	16.1	0.73
Vladimir Stepania	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	16.0	16.2	-0.20	13.0	16.6	-3.58
Jelani McCoy	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	17.7	16.1	1.53	12.0	16.6	-4.65
Chuck Person	3	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	16	-19	17.7	16.1	1.53	12.0	16.6	-4.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, DAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.83,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ORL 89, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
TOR 98, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%