inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 89 Excitement2.1 [1234] MVPAaron Williams (WAS): +6.0%
Washington Wizards 117 Comeback1.0 [552] LVPTracy McGrady (TOR): -7.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Willis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03250%0.0110.0000%0.00
John Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01557%0.0000.00450%0.00
Muggsy Bogues0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03540%0.0010.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Michael Stewart-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.030,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.000.000.031154%-0.011-0.024100%0.01
Doug Christie-0.050,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.120.00-0.071339%-0.023-0.04580%0.00
Alvin Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.021238%-0.0500.002100%0.00
Charles Oakley-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.0250%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Vince Carter-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.000.041451%-0.051-0.02978%-0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.021347%-0.053-0.03862%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.066100%0.071-0.015100%0.01
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.024100%0.022-0.0000%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01865%0.031-0.027100%0.02
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02862%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00959%0.031-0.02425%-0.00
Ike Austin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.03860%0.0100.004100%0.01
Reggie Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerard King0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00167%0.0000.004100%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04647%0.012-0.023100%0.01
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.021045%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04850%0.003-0.024100%0.01
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.120.00-0.09933%-0.013-0.01367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.433.314.729.21.830.2133.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +38.1%
WAS +6.3%
WAS +4.6%
TOR -0.7%
WAS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORWASNBATORWASNBA
this game15.213.715.289.9117.0101.7
season15.515.5101.8101.1
opponent14.814.9104.4102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR17.015.314.514.215.2
WAS14.913.014.313.013.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Thomas22230.01-0.510.52-0.021-293014.515.4-0.9714.213.60.56
Sean Marks10100.00-0.500.500.000-282813.515.4-1.9013.713.7-0.04
Alvin Williams4849-0.17-0.330.150.12-10-18815.215.2-0.0114.912.62.23
Michael Stewart2728-0.20-0.300.090.21-14-14014.615.5-0.9011.514.6-3.16
Kevin Willis3838-0.23-0.270.040.36-20-8-1215.215.2-0.0013.014.2-1.24
Vince Carter6063-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-12-16415.514.80.7315.011.63.41
Doug Christie6563-0.28-0.22-0.050.08-12-16415.015.6-0.6613.414.2-0.80
Charles Oakley5150-0.31-0.19-0.110.13-15-13-216.014.41.5814.612.81.80
Muggsy Bogues5657-0.32-0.18-0.140.21-18-10-814.616.0-1.3912.615.3-2.74
Antonio Davis5353-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-16415.714.61.0914.213.30.87
Tracy McGrady6566-0.41-0.09-0.310.41-280-2815.514.70.7713.214.7-1.46

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitch Richmond60610.430.070.36-0.192171414.113.20.9015.914.11.84
Juwan Howard53530.340.160.18-0.362442014.313.11.2016.713.53.20
Rod Strickland52530.300.200.100.011018-814.413.01.3415.714.61.13
Jahidi White51500.280.220.05-0.372261614.113.30.8115.814.61.23
Aaron Williams49480.240.26-0.01-0.281810813.114.4-1.2515.415.00.36
Michael Smith40400.230.27-0.04-0.03919-1014.813.01.7716.014.71.32
Tracy Murray43420.220.28-0.060.04622-1613.014.3-1.3413.816.2-2.39
Ike Austin43430.190.31-0.110.08424-2013.014.3-1.3013.916.2-2.31
Chris Whitney46440.170.33-0.17-0.271513213.214.2-0.9314.316.0-1.69
Richard Hamilton40380.070.43-0.36-0.13721-1413.214.1-0.9014.115.9-1.84
Reggie Jordan13130.030.47-0.44-0.08424-2013.213.8-0.5914.815.3-0.42
Gerard King10100.000.50-0.500.00028-2813.713.7-0.0413.515.4-1.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 104, PHX 1240.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
CHI 82, ORL 1110.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
MEM 79, CLE 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%