NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	3.1 [1131]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +14.3%
Houston Rockets	87		Comeback	1.2 [1051]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -18.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	12	81%	0.14	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.03
Karl Malone	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.02	21	59%	0.11	0	0.00	12	67%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	12	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	9	11%	-0.08	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.05	13	76%	0.09	1	-0.01	11	73%	0.01
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Thomas Hamilton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	10	55%	0.04	4	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	6	43%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	47%	-0.02	1	-0.01	8	87%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	11%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	10	23%	-0.04	7	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	29.0	15.8	26.2	2.7	32.2	131.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.3%

UTA +3.7%

HOU -0.1%

UTA +19.4%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	17.0	14.3	15.2	110.8	95.6	101.7
season	16.3	15.4		104.5	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.2		103.5	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	18.4	16.4	17.2	17.0
HOU	14.5	16.7	13.6	12.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	75	74	0.47	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	-3	22	16.6	18.4	-1.75	14.4	13.9	0.44
Jeff Hornacek	56	56	0.45	0.04	0.41	0.01	15	1	14	16.4	17.9	-1.56	14.0	14.7	-0.72
John Stockton	45	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.29	24	-8	32	15.9	18.0	-2.07	14.4	14.2	0.17
Bryon Russell	63	61	0.34	0.15	0.20	-0.04	13	3	10	17.5	15.8	1.69	14.5	13.8	0.69
Adam Keefe	47	47	0.30	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	10	-4	17.0	17.0	0.04	14.9	13.7	1.15
Howard Eisley	55	55	0.18	0.31	-0.13	0.18	0	16	-16	17.3	16.4	0.90	13.9	14.8	-0.89
Greg Ostertag	33	33	0.12	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	11	-6	17.1	16.9	0.22	13.9	14.5	-0.61
Olden Polynice	23	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	12	-8	16.7	17.1	-0.43	15.0	14.1	0.91
Quincy Lewis	29	28	0.05	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	17	-18	16.5	17.2	-0.72	14.7	14.1	0.65
Jacque Vaughn	32	30	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.12	-3	19	-22	18.4	16.2	2.13	14.9	14.0	0.95
Scott Padgett	7	6	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	18	-20	20.6	16.7	3.89	6.2	14.9	-8.70

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	21	23	-0.04	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-18	20	13.5	14.5	-1.07	20.3	15.9	4.36
Thomas Hamilton	4	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-13	10	24.5	13.8	10.67	19.6	16.8	2.77
Anthony Miller	52	51	-0.17	-0.32	0.15	-0.20	1	-17	18	13.7	15.0	-1.28	17.3	16.6	0.74
Walt Williams	34	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.12	-12	-4	-8	15.1	13.8	1.31	16.2	17.5	-1.23
Matt Bullard	29	31	-0.24	-0.25	0.01	0.20	-15	-1	-14	15.6	13.7	1.84	15.3	17.8	-2.48
Cuttino Mobley	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-12	8	13.8	15.1	-1.31	17.5	16.2	1.23
Shandon Anderson	78	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-9	2	14.6	12.7	1.87	16.8	18.0	-1.17
Bryce Drew	45	45	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-3	-10	14.4	14.2	0.29	17.7	16.3	1.46
Steve Francis	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-4	-8	13.8	15.2	-1.33	16.6	17.6	-1.02
Carlos Rogers	76	76	-0.45	-0.04	-0.41	0.05	-17	1	-18	13.9	16.4	-2.52	16.3	20.2	-3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
POR 112, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
MIN 107, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%