NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	2.7 [1219]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +23.2%
New Orleans Hornets	101		Comeback	1.1 [960]		LVP	Aaron Gray (NOH): -7.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.27	0.02	0.05	14	85%	0.23	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	5	100%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	16	71%	0.14	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	6	85%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	6	56%	0.01	3	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	37%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.17	0.01	0.12	10	100%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
David West	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	14	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	8	39%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.12	4	112%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	27.5	16.8	24.2	2.5	29.3	126.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.0%

POR +7.1%

NOH -1.6%

POR +8.3%

POR +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	17.6	16.1	15.3	130.2	118.8	106.0
season	16.7	15.5		108.8	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.6		108.3	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.2	16.0	18.3	18.8	17.6
NOH	15.5	16.7	16.8	15.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	60	59	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.01	17	-6	23	16.5	20.0	-3.51	17.8	12.1	5.72
Brandon Roy	57	57	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.16	22	-11	33	17.5	17.9	-0.41	16.1	16.1	0.02
Andre Miller	41	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.15	21	-10	31	16.0	19.0	-3.04	17.6	14.6	2.94
Nicolas Batum	38	36	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.06	17	-6	23	16.6	18.4	-1.86	17.6	14.9	2.70
Marcus Camby	52	52	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	-9	29	17.0	18.5	-1.45	16.3	15.7	0.68
Juwan Howard	37	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	7	-3	19.6	16.1	3.47	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Rudy Fernandez	43	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	10	-9	18.7	16.5	2.26	15.7	16.4	-0.68
Jerryd Bayless	42	41	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.25	-7	18	-25	18.9	16.3	2.61	14.8	17.3	-2.56
Martell Webster	29	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	22	-33	17.9	17.5	0.41	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Jeff Ayres	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	21	-31	17.6	17.6	0.04	9.9	16.7	-6.85
Travis Diener	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	21	-31	17.6	17.6	0.04	9.9	16.7	-6.85
Dante Cunningham	15	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	20	-29	18.9	17.3	1.62	13.1	16.8	-3.64

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.31	10	-21	31	15.6	16.3	-0.69	18.7	17.0	1.70
Darius Songaila	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-12	13	17.8	15.2	2.60	18.3	17.2	1.09
Darren Collison	67	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.33	7	-18	25	15.7	17.6	-1.94	18.4	14.5	3.91
Julian Wright	20	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-12	13	14.8	16.5	-1.68	15.7	18.2	-2.40
Aaron Gray	19	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-12	13	14.7	16.5	-1.73	15.8	18.1	-2.30
Marcus Thornton	49	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-11	11	16.0	16.2	-0.24	18.2	16.7	1.47
Emeka Okafor	42	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	0	-11	16.1	16.0	0.07	17.7	17.4	0.30
Chris Paul	56	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	8	-27	16.5	15.3	1.12	16.9	19.0	-2.12
Morris Peterson	42	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.18	-22	11	-33	16.4	15.8	0.59	16.6	18.5	-1.97
David West	70	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.13	-23	12	-35	16.3	15.3	0.99	17.7	17.2	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 131, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
OKC 104, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
UTA 92, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%