NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	131		Excitement	3.1 [1169]		MVP	Julius Randle (NOP): +18.9%
Houston Rockets	112		Comeback	1.0 [373]		LVP	Darius Miller (NOP): -5.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.01	15	69%	0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.04	21	65%	0.15	1	-0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	0.00	0.07	20	70%	0.12	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	13	36%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.00	0.10	12	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	12	42%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.00	0.07	11	73%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	12	66%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	-0.00	0.11	14	64%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	-0.09	10	37%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.03	4	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Gary Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	30.3	15.3	28.4	3.4	29.6	134.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +39.9%

NOP +1.9%

NOP +6.0%

HOU -3.0%

NOP +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	13.3	14.0	14.3	123.6	106.7	109.3
season	13.4	14.8		110.2	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.2		109.3	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.4	11.8	13.8	14.2	13.3
HOU	17.3	13.0	12.4	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	83	82	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	-7	33	12.9	14.4	-1.45	14.5	12.3	2.23
Elfrid Payton	78	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.18	23	-4	27	13.5	12.6	0.83	15.0	11.3	3.70
E'Twaun Moore	75	73	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.43	30	-11	41	12.3	15.5	-3.15	15.2	11.5	3.62
Anthony Davis	85	83	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.23	23	-4	27	13.3	13.2	0.02	14.6	11.9	2.76
Nikola Mirotic	65	63	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	5	9	14.1	12.0	2.09	14.6	13.2	1.35
Julius Randle	52	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	14	-9	12.6	13.9	-1.22	13.2	15.0	-1.82
Darius Miller	46	46	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	24	-29	14.2	12.5	1.70	12.1	15.6	-3.53
Jahlil Okafor	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	11.2	13.4	-2.16	9.7	14.2	-4.47
Kenrich Williams	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	11.2	13.4	-2.16	9.7	14.2	-4.47
Cheick Diallo	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	11.2	13.4	-2.16	9.7	14.2	-4.47
Frank Jackson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	11.2	13.4	-2.16	9.7	14.2	-4.47
Solomon Hill	26	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.37	-13	32	-45	15.3	12.6	2.77	11.6	14.9	-3.38

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	40	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-22	25	13.1	14.6	-1.49	14.5	12.5	1.96
Gary Clark	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	9.7	14.2	-4.47	11.2	13.4	-2.16
Isaiah Hartenstein	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	9.7	14.2	-4.47	11.2	13.4	-2.16
Gerald Green	26	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-22	25	11.2	15.0	-3.85	12.8	13.4	-0.54
James Ennis III	52	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-14	9	15.1	13.0	2.08	13.3	13.3	-0.00
Clint Capela	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.22	-14	-5	-9	14.3	13.7	0.63	12.8	13.8	-1.03
Eric Gordon	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-8	-3	13.2	15.4	-2.22	13.2	13.3	-0.02
PJ Tucker	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	-6	-7	14.8	12.3	2.54	14.0	11.7	2.32
Carmelo Anthony	60	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	1	-21	13.5	14.7	-1.16	13.1	13.4	-0.30
James Harden	75	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.20	-23	4	-27	14.9	11.8	3.10	13.0	13.8	-0.73
Chris Paul	68	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	0	-19	14.6	13.0	1.58	13.0	13.8	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
SAS 103, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.7%
POR 112, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%