NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	3.1 [1162]		MVP	Sasha Pavlovic (UTA): +3.8%
New York Knicks	78		Comeback	1.0 [578]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -11.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	-0.00	-0.05	13	57%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	12	61%	0.04	2	-0.01	14	86%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	67%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.03	5	64%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	9	27%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Raul Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	79%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	53%	-0.03	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.01	9	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	16	48%	-0.10	2	-0.02	12	58%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	28.4	15.6	31.0	1.6	32.4	136.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.8%

UTA +9.6%

UTA +13.7%

UTA +3.5%

UTA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	17.5	14.7	15.7	102.2	87.6	100.5
season	17.2	15.5		99.4	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.2		100.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.1	14.3	22.4	15.4	17.5
NYK	16.0	15.1	14.3	13.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	81	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.15	23	-9	32	17.5	17.7	-0.20	14.9	11.6	3.37
Sasha Pavlovic	81	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	2	10	17.2	19.8	-2.54	14.8	13.9	0.87
Greg Ostertag	60	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	9	-4	15.1	22.2	-7.02	14.0	16.1	-2.17
Raul Lopez	44	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	0	14	14.7	20.1	-5.36	14.7	14.6	0.09
Carlos Arroyo	40	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	6	2	20.8	14.9	5.91	15.2	14.2	1.00
Jarron Collins	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	6	2	20.8	14.6	6.14	15.4	14.0	1.34
Michael Ruffin	30	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	5	4	22.2	15.1	7.02	16.1	14.0	2.17
Mo Williams	21	20	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	16	-18	15.1	18.2	-3.12	14.2	14.8	-0.55
Raja Bell	46	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	13	-12	15.7	19.3	-3.62	13.4	16.0	-2.61
Gordan Giricek	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	22	-30	18.6	17.4	1.18	10.5	14.9	-4.37

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	19	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-21	28	12.7	15.2	-2.53	16.0	17.9	-1.85
DerMarr Johnson	16	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-18	22	12.3	15.2	-2.88	14.5	18.2	-3.65
Frank Williams	17	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-17	20	13.6	14.9	-1.27	16.6	17.7	-1.04
Michael Sweetney	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-16	18	14.1	14.8	-0.70	17.8	17.4	0.40
Nazr Mohammed	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-10	6	13.6	15.3	-1.71	15.4	18.7	-3.34
Tim Thomas	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-14	14	14.7	14.5	0.23	18.4	15.6	2.88
Othella Harrington	28	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-4	-6	15.5	14.3	1.15	17.0	17.7	-0.66
Kurt Thomas	46	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-2	-10	15.0	14.3	0.63	18.5	16.3	2.21
Dikembe Mutombo	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-2	-10	15.6	14.0	1.62	19.1	16.4	2.75
Anfernee Hardaway	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	2	-18	14.1	15.5	-1.34	15.6	20.3	-4.69
Shandon Anderson	53	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	0	-14	15.8	13.0	2.76	18.8	15.4	3.46
Stephon Marbury	60	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	4	-22	15.2	13.5	1.72	18.0	16.5	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.39,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
TOR 113, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
POR 112, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%