NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	6.4 [526]		MVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): +39.4%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	1.1 [761]		LVP	Kevin Willis (TOR): -15.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.05	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	22	61%	0.12	2	-0.07	12	92%	0.04
Michael Stewart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.06	4	87%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.08
Doug Christie	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	0.03	11	46%	-0.04	1	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
Kevin Willis	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	11	19%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.27	0.17	0.04	17	86%	0.39	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	12	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	64%	0.04	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	25	47%	-0.09	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.7	33.1	15.8	25.1	1.8	33.2	132.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.6%

TOR -0.1%

ATL +17.8%

TOR -10.5%

ATL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.2	106.6	114.1	101.7
season	15.5	15.4		101.8	99.3
opponent	15.2	14.9		105.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.2	15.7	15.2	14.8	16.0
ATL	13.1	16.3	16.1	16.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	9	9	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-10	12	14.8	16.1	-1.33	11.4	15.9	-4.50
Alvin Williams	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-1	-6	16.2	15.8	0.49	15.4	15.6	-0.13
Kevin Willis	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	1	-10	16.6	15.2	1.40	14.3	17.1	-2.83
Muggsy Bogues	46	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-10	12	14.9	17.0	-2.11	16.0	15.0	1.07
Tracy McGrady	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-6	4	15.3	17.1	-1.78	15.6	15.4	0.14
Charles Oakley	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	0	-8	16.5	11.9	4.63	16.0	12.2	3.74
Doug Christie	83	84	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.20	-10	2	-12	15.9	16.6	-0.71	15.7	12.9	2.88
Vince Carter	90	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	0	-8	16.2	0.0	16.16	15.7	0.0	15.67

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	66	65	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.19	14	-6	20	15.8	14.6	1.23	17.3	12.7	4.60
Anthony Johnson	49	48	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	1	6	14.9	16.1	-1.20	15.4	16.6	-1.19
Isaiah Rider	84	83	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	0	8	15.3	17.2	-1.92	15.9	16.4	-0.44
Alan Henderson	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-2	12	15.5	15.4	0.17	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Jim Jackson	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	0	8	15.5	15.7	-0.23	15.9	16.5	-0.66
LaPhonso Ellis	37	35	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	9	-10	15.4	15.6	-0.25	14.5	16.9	-2.33
Bimbo Coles	45	46	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	4	0	16.1	15.0	1.11	16.7	15.2	1.54
Chris Crawford	7	6	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	6	-4	16.4	15.4	1.01	16.0	16.0	0.02
Cal Bowdler	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	10	-12	0.0	15.5	-15.50	18.0	16.0	2.04
Jason Terry	10	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	12	-16	16.4	15.4	1.01	16.0	16.0	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	14	-20	14.2	15.7	-1.48	13.9	16.3	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
TOR 84, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.86,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%
SAS 101, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.9,1,1	92.4%