NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	6.8 [484]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +31.3%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.1 [1156]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -31.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Mike Wilks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	9	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Parker	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	31	45%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	13	39%	-0.08	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.20	0.15	0.03	22	77%	0.37	3	-0.06	13	77%	0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.01	10	68%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	14	64%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	17	33%	-0.05	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.27,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.20	-0.13	-0.02	13	42%	-0.08	9	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	24.1	14.8	25.1	2.5	35.2	129.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +66.2%

SAS -9.2%

PHX +20.8%

SAS -29.7%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.9	11.8	15.5	101.0	105.9	104.0
season	16.3	13.5		105.8	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.6		106.2	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.7	17.2	17.2	16.5	16.9
PHX	10.6	12.1	10.5	14.2	11.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	16.3	17.1	-0.77	12.2	11.7	0.53
Rasho Nesterovic	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	18.1	15.9	2.16	11.2	12.3	-1.07
Robert Horry	41	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	2	-10	17.6	16.4	1.28	11.0	12.4	-1.41
Devin Brown	80	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-4	2	16.4	18.6	-2.21	11.6	12.6	-0.99
Mike Wilks	39	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-3	0	18.6	15.8	2.76	12.0	11.6	0.38
Brent Barry	76	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-8	10	17.1	16.2	0.94	12.5	9.8	2.71
Tony Massenburg	35	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-2	-2	15.3	17.8	-2.50	13.2	11.1	2.07
Tony Parker	80	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-3	0	16.5	18.3	-1.77	11.6	12.5	-0.87
Bruce Bowen	80	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-1	-4	16.5	18.5	-2.02	11.5	13.1	-1.54

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	59	57	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-2	10	12.1	11.5	0.60	16.6	17.2	-0.58
Joe Johnson	87	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-3	12	11.7	12.4	-0.73	16.5	19.1	-2.57
Steve Nash	80	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	2	2	12.2	10.3	1.91	17.4	14.7	2.65
Shawn Marion	83	82	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	3	0	11.8	11.9	-0.17	17.0	16.3	0.73
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	0	6	12.0	11.5	0.51	16.6	17.4	-0.80
Steven Hunter	22	21	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.10	3	3	0	12.5	11.6	0.83	17.2	16.8	0.45
Quentin Richardson	14	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	-1	8	10.9	12.0	-1.10	19.4	16.5	2.88
Walter McCarty	34	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	9	-12	11.3	12.1	-0.81	17.1	16.8	0.36
Jim Jackson	56	57	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	13	-20	11.3	12.4	-1.16	16.2	17.7	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.59,0.6,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, HOU 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.77,0.9,0.99,1	92.9%
PHI 71, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	92.9%
LAL 92, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	92.5%