NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	71		Excitement	6.3 [558]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +15.5%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	1.2 [1090]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -40.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.06	-0.03	10	61%	0.17	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.00
Henry Sims	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Tony Wroten	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	17	51%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Furkan Aldemir	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	45%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
KJ McDaniels	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.39,-0.39,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.33	-0.10	-0.02	20	18%	-0.27	6	-0.14	4	75%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.05	0.03	8	78%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	11	68%	0.14	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.01	18	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	0.03	8	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	28%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	29.5	15.5	29.7	2.0	33.2	138.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +1.8%

UTA +18.6%

UTA +21.5%

UTA +7.5%

UTA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	15.1	76.3	94.6	104.2
season	14.9	16.2		94.3	103.8
opponent	15.3	14.8		103.7	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	17.0	14.7	14.7	15.8
UTA	14.6	13.0	15.3	18.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Wroten	63	61	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-19	21	15.1	17.4	-2.30	15.9	13.7	2.25
Jerami Grant	38	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-18	19	14.6	16.6	-1.99	16.4	14.2	2.22
Furkan Aldemir	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-15	13	13.7	16.1	-2.36	18.0	14.8	3.22
Henry Sims	61	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-9	1	16.0	15.5	0.47	15.0	15.5	-0.45
KJ McDaniels	51	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-9	1	15.0	16.8	-1.87	15.6	14.6	1.00
JaKarr Sampson	40	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.10	-17	0	-17	17.0	14.9	2.09	12.8	17.1	-4.38
Robert Covington	67	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.23	-25	8	-33	16.0	15.4	0.53	15.8	13.4	2.41
Michael Carter-Williams	72	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	-3	-11	16.0	15.0	0.98	14.7	16.9	-2.25
Nerlens Noel	61	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.19	-14	-3	-11	17.0	13.4	3.61	14.4	16.7	-2.28

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	69	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	-5	27	15.0	15.5	-0.46	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Derrick Favors	65	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	1	15	15.4	14.6	0.74	16.4	14.4	2.07
Trevor Booker	38	39	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-3	23	14.8	15.4	-0.63	15.0	16.4	-1.34
Rodney Hood	57	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-1	19	15.9	14.0	1.94	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Trey Burke	71	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	5	7	15.3	14.8	0.45	16.5	13.6	2.84
Joe Ingles	37	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	14	-11	15.5	14.9	0.58	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Enes Kanter	48	48	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	16	-15	15.6	14.7	0.92	16.3	15.3	1.00
Dante Exum	35	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	17	-17	14.0	15.9	-1.86	14.3	16.8	-2.55
Patrick Christopher	10	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	21	-25	13.7	15.3	-1.64	18.5	15.5	3.02
Rudy Gobert	35	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	20	-23	14.5	15.5	-0.99	14.8	16.4	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
MIL 106, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.6%
GSW 101, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%