inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 101 Excitement5.7 [695] MVPReggie Williams (GSW): +19.1%
Houston Rockets 111 Comeback1.0 [1088] LVPVladimir Radmanovic (GSW): -6.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Williams0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.120.06-0.021071%0.1900.001100%0.01
Jeremy Lin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02580%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Dorell Wright0.000,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.010.031955%0.062-0.06650%-0.01
Andris Biedrins-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01475%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.010.021949%0.011-0.045100%0.02
Rodney Carney-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01450%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Adrien-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0110%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.012137%-0.0400.00650%-0.06
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.01550%-0.032-0.0400%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.060.041264%0.182-0.051593%0.04
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.05-0.014100%0.162-0.051100%0.01
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.02589%0.132-0.058100%0.03
Luis Scola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.030.031553%0.0800.001553%-0.04
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.02756%0.101-0.04250%-0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.040.01864%0.113-0.06683%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.01-0.021154%0.064-0.07250%-0.01
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.000.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.72.533.415.726.32.438.4146.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +36.4%
HOU +20.5%
HOU +0.0%
GSW -7.1%
HOU +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWHOUNBAGSWHOUNBA
this game14.714.815.5104.1113.3105.7
season14.815.2106.6109.5
opponent14.915.2107.5109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.713.414.715.214.7
HOU13.115.915.314.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Gadzuric14130.02-0.520.530.04-1-9815.814.61.2214.214.9-0.65
Rodney Carney2928-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-131613.615.2-1.7015.114.70.39
Reggie Williams5859-0.06-0.440.37-0.308-182614.415.2-0.7715.014.50.56
Jeff Adrien2426-0.16-0.340.19-0.04-4-6212.815.4-2.5414.614.9-0.30
Jeremy Lin2626-0.18-0.320.15-0.12-2-8616.814.02.8713.315.3-2.03
Andris Biedrins6059-0.19-0.310.12-0.16-1-9815.014.30.7615.114.40.68
Stephen Curry7274-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.00-111-1213.917.0-3.1014.914.30.61
Dorell Wright9091-0.530.03-0.56-0.18-122-1414.814.60.1815.011.93.16
Vladimir Radmanovic2729-0.530.03-0.56-0.03-177-2416.614.02.5115.114.70.44
Monta Ellis8585-0.530.03-0.57-0.15-133-1615.013.21.8014.516.8-2.28

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry81810.66-0.160.830.0820-103014.317.1-2.8114.714.8-0.08
Luis Scola80790.52-0.020.540.0815-52015.013.91.0415.212.92.21
Shane Battier73710.490.010.480.201001015.114.01.0714.814.50.38
Chase Budinger49500.340.160.170.2537-414.914.70.2415.114.40.70
Courtney Lee47460.290.210.080.2328-614.315.2-0.9213.815.6-1.78
Charles Hayes58570.210.29-0.08-0.0691815.613.61.9414.415.2-0.74
Kevin Martin69690.180.32-0.150.0355013.817.2-3.3815.113.91.19
Brad Miller66-0.010.51-0.510.02-111-1219.214.54.6612.714.9-2.21
Jordan Hill1010-0.010.51-0.520.08-313-1612.615.0-2.4514.014.8-0.83
Ish Smith1716-0.160.66-0.830.13-1020-3017.114.32.8114.814.70.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 82, LAC 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%
PHI 84, TOR 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.2%
PHX 112, LAL 1240.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,194.2%