NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	113		Excitement	8.4 [191]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +39.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	116		Comeback	6.1 [238]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -13.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.15	0.16	-0.01	0.00	14	81%	0.24	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Alan Henderson	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.00	9	81%	0.21	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.05	0.12	-0.07	0.00	21	65%	0.12	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.07
LaPhonso Ellis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	16	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.07
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	4	57%	0.00	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.27,0.39	0.39	0.16	0.24	0.00	23	72%	0.61	3	-0.22	4	50%	-0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.11	-0.01	19	64%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	8	68%	0.17	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.06
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	82%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	14	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.8	25.1	15.4	24.8	1.7	37.0	126.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +45.0%

MIL +4.6%

MIL +2.2%

MIL +10.5%

ATL -12.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.9	15.2	121.5	124.7	101.7
season	15.4	14.9		99.3	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		105.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.6	14.4	19.5	15.0	16.0
MIL	15.7	15.6	12.7	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	18	18	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-5	7	14.9	16.3	-1.42	17.5	14.3	3.18
LaPhonso Ellis	37	38	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.24	-5	2	-7	15.9	16.1	-0.19	15.8	14.3	1.49
Anthony Johnson	13	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	1	-5	16.5	15.9	0.59	16.6	14.6	1.98
Jason Terry	10	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	5	-13	16.1	16.0	0.08	15.2	14.9	0.36
Lorenzen Wright	17	18	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	4	-11	15.8	16.1	-0.33	15.3	14.9	0.42
Bimbo Coles	78	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.47	7	-10	17	15.7	17.7	-1.95	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Dikembe Mutombo	77	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.40	4	-7	11	16.1	15.6	0.49	15.0	14.6	0.42
Isaiah Rider	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-4	5	16.3	15.0	1.33	14.5	16.5	-1.99
Jim Jackson	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	0	-3	16.3	14.8	1.47	14.5	16.9	-2.34
Alan Henderson	66	64	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.65	-2	-1	-1	16.0	16.1	-0.06	14.1	16.9	-2.80

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	58	58	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.44	17	-14	31	13.7	17.0	-3.26	16.2	15.7	0.46
Sam Cassell	74	76	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.60	6	-3	9	14.6	16.3	-1.67	16.1	15.6	0.47
Scott Williams	43	44	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.55	-5	8	-13	15.7	14.3	1.33	14.9	17.1	-2.22
Ray Allen	76	76	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.42	-5	8	-13	14.8	15.6	-0.87	15.8	16.9	-1.04
Glenn Robinson	74	77	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.46	-9	12	-21	15.0	14.8	0.12	15.9	16.8	-0.94
Dale Ellis	39	38	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.20	10	-7	17	15.7	14.4	1.30	15.9	16.1	-0.23
Danny Manning	18	18	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	-1	5	15.1	14.9	0.15	17.1	15.8	1.34
Ervin Johnson	50	48	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	8	-13	15.1	14.8	0.27	17.2	14.8	2.43
Vinny Del Negro	33	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.20	2	1	1	16.1	14.3	1.79	15.7	16.2	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.2,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,1	90.7%
MIN 89, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.4,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.55,0.42,1	90.5%
PHI 91, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.32,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.45,0.42,1	89.8%