NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	5.4 [730]		MVP	A.C. Green (LAL): +6.9%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	1.4 [799]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -32.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	19	61%	0.05	0	0.00	11	91%	0.00
John Salley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	10	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Glen Rice	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	17	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	9	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.32,-0.32,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.27	-0.07	-0.02	15	26%	-0.18	6	-0.14	5	20%	-0.06

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	1	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	69%	0.04	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	0.05	24	56%	-0.02	4	-0.09	11	91%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.04	-0.02	15	31%	-0.14	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	30.1	15.7	32.1	1.8	34.0	138.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +13.1%

LAL +5.9%

LAL +20.8%

LAL +15.6%

ATL -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	13.4	15.2	96.9	90.7	101.7
season	15.3	15.4		105.6	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.5	15.8	15.8	15.4	16.1
ATL	13.2	13.5	13.6	13.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-5	17	16.5	15.4	1.11	13.4	13.4	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-2	11	16.1	15.9	0.27	13.5	12.9	0.58
Derek Fisher	57	57	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	0	7	14.6	18.1	-3.47	12.9	14.1	-1.15
John Salley	41	39	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	0	7	15.7	16.4	-0.72	11.5	14.7	-3.19
A.C. Green	45	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-5	17	17.1	15.2	1.91	13.6	13.2	0.40
Robert Horry	53	51	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	12	-17	15.2	17.1	-1.91	13.2	13.6	-0.40
Ron Harper	58	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	9	-11	17.5	14.1	3.34	13.8	13.0	0.82
Shaquille O'Neal	55	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	6	-5	16.7	15.3	1.38	14.9	11.3	3.57
Rick Fox	35	34	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	13	-19	14.9	16.7	-1.80	13.1	13.6	-0.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-7	7	14.0	13.0	1.06	17.9	14.8	3.11
Jim Jackson	79	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-13	19	13.4	13.6	-0.16	16.9	12.8	4.09
Lorenzen Wright	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-4	1	12.7	14.0	-1.33	14.6	17.2	-2.60
Dikembe Mutombo	75	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-9	11	13.9	11.8	2.13	17.1	12.6	4.49
Isaiah Rider	86	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-5	3	13.7	11.6	2.01	16.5	13.3	3.16
Jason Terry	55	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	0	-7	13.0	14.0	-1.06	14.8	17.9	-3.11
Chris Crawford	29	32	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	11	-29	12.8	13.7	-0.85	13.0	17.6	-4.56
Alan Henderson	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	6	-19	13.4	13.6	-0.29	15.9	16.7	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 96, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
NOH 99, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.1%
UTA 77, NOH 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%