NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	77		Excitement	4.3 [934]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +8.9%
New Orleans Hornets	66		Comeback	1.4 [355]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -23.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	20	52%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	87%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	5	58%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	9	53%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	14	36%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.23	-0.05	-0.08	11	18%	-0.07	6	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	2	75%	0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.05	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	14	44%	-0.07	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.05	0.00	11	17%	-0.17	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.7	26.0	15.6	23.3	1.7	26.4	115.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +33.3%

UTA +2.2%

UTA +15.8%

NOH -2.6%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOH	NBA	UTA	NOH	NBA
this game	16.7	15.3	15.4	85.6	73.3	105.7
season	15.5	15.9		111.2	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.0		104.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.2	15.1	15.3	22.9	16.7
NOH	16.5	16.9	15.3	12.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	66	64	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.05	15	-4	19	16.1	18.4	-2.24	16.3	12.7	3.67
Deron Williams	75	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	5	1	16.9	15.7	1.28	16.1	11.5	4.58
Ronnie Price	25	25	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-4	19	15.3	17.3	-1.96	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Andrei Kirilenko	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	3	5	17.3	15.7	1.59	15.4	15.0	0.37
Paul Millsap	41	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	1	9	16.4	17.0	-0.67	14.0	16.3	-2.29
Kyle Korver	41	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	9	-7	16.7	16.8	-0.14	14.4	16.0	-1.66
Mehmet Okur	73	74	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	14	-17	17.5	13.5	3.95	15.0	16.3	-1.27
Matt Harpring	39	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	8	-5	17.7	16.0	1.69	14.3	16.0	-1.65
Ronnie Brewer	33	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	12	-13	15.3	17.6	-2.31	15.7	15.0	0.71

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	27	28	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.20	11	-22	33	14.4	15.7	-1.28	17.2	16.5	0.70
Julian Wright	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.22	10	-21	31	14.0	15.9	-1.87	18.1	16.1	2.02
Ryan Bowen	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-18	25	13.9	15.4	-1.54	21.7	16.1	5.59
Mike James	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-14	17	12.7	15.6	-2.89	25.0	15.5	9.54
Jannero Pargo	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-14	17	15.8	15.0	0.78	16.3	16.9	-0.68
Morris Peterson	39	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-8	5	15.3	15.3	-0.02	15.6	17.5	-1.93
Bonzi Wells	47	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-8	5	14.2	16.5	-2.29	18.2	15.0	3.21
Tyson Chandler	70	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	5	-21	15.6	14.0	1.56	16.3	18.3	-2.08
Peja Stojakovic	56	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.05	-21	10	-31	16.4	13.4	3.08	14.7	19.9	-5.16
Chris Paul	61	62	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.05	-22	11	-33	15.9	14.0	1.87	16.0	18.4	-2.36
David West	73	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.07	-24	13	-37	15.5	14.5	0.98	16.3	18.4	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, NOH 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
LAL 95, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%
DET 90, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%