inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 96 Excitement4.6 [911] MVPJosh Childress (ATL): +9.2%
Atlanta Hawks 77 Comeback1.6 [357] LVPJoe Johnson (ATL): -24.0%


New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasual Butler0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.010.021566%0.132-0.052100%0.01
Marc Jackson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00569%0.091-0.023100%0.02
Devin Brown0.050,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.021059%0.123-0.06786%-0.00
Jannero Pargo0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.14-0.010.101580%0.083-0.0500%0.00
Hilton Armstrong0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04133%0.0110.00450%-0.01
Linton Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.04569%0.021-0.023100%0.01
Brandon Bass0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0600%0.0030.0000%0.00
Cedric Simmons0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.010.03774%0.094-0.11540%-0.02
Desmond Mason-0.160,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.15-0.03-0.0367%-0.083-0.07250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.19-0.010.08890%0.0900.005100%0.02
Dijon Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.01856%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03333%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Salim Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01844%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Speedy Claxton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.03636%-0.032-0.03250%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.030.0040%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.18-0.07-0.031323%-0.133-0.08475%-0.01
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.21-0.06-0.032427%-0.153-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.72.727.115.725.22.726.2128.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOK +74.7%
NOK +4.9%
ATL -12.0%
ATL -16.6%
ATL -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOKATLNBANOKATLNBA
this game15.614.815.4103.280.2104.5
season16.016.1102.8101.1
opponent15.315.3106.1104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOK16.615.715.115.215.6
ATL13.614.916.814.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo64640.57-0.070.63-0.1424-52915.316.4-1.1714.715.1-0.42
Tyson Chandler64680.490.010.48-0.1622-32515.516.0-0.5215.114.20.84
Rasual Butler78820.410.090.31-0.151901915.815.00.7715.113.12.07
Devin Brown76790.390.110.27-0.051541115.615.7-0.0715.213.21.95
Linton Johnson42430.320.180.13-0.151631315.315.9-0.6615.414.40.96
Hilton Armstrong26250.160.34-0.170.05415-1117.015.11.8313.015.5-2.44
Desmond Mason55580.140.36-0.220.02415-1115.815.50.2914.315.7-1.43
Marc Jackson38400.030.47-0.440.03019-1916.814.82.0215.114.70.44
Cedric Simmons13130.000.50-0.500.06-221-2313.416.0-2.6315.214.80.36
Brandon Bass980.000.50-0.500.21-726-3313.815.8-2.0712.515.1-2.56

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia20190.03-0.530.56-0.001-202113.915.1-1.1318.215.03.16
Slava Medvedenko990.00-0.500.50-0.217-263313.914.9-1.0513.815.8-2.07
Lorenzen Wright3634-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-181715.614.41.1414.516.3-1.85
Salim Stoudamire3330-0.10-0.400.290.34-15-4-1114.814.9-0.0415.815.60.28
Dijon Thompson3736-0.10-0.400.29-0.07-1-181714.115.3-1.2015.915.50.44
Royal Ivey2928-0.14-0.360.22-0.233-222515.814.41.4114.416.2-1.74
Solomon Jones3434-0.17-0.330.170.10-9-10113.915.4-1.4915.215.9-0.74
Speedy Claxton3736-0.20-0.300.100.01-7-12514.115.3-1.1516.415.11.30
Marvin Williams5249-0.37-0.13-0.250.15-18-1-1715.614.01.5615.415.9-0.50
Shelden Williams4947-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.09-11-8-314.615.1-0.4716.614.71.96
Josh Childress7373-0.42-0.08-0.330.05-16-3-1315.213.71.4515.117.7-2.68
Joe Johnson7170-0.550.05-0.590.27-289-3715.014.50.4416.014.71.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 95, ATL 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,095.8%
CLE 116, MIL 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
NOH 99, LAC 870.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,095.0%