inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 93 Excitement4.9 [812] MVPTerry Mills (DET): +7.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 101 Comeback1.9 [878] LVPGrant Hill (DET): -17.6%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Mills0.080,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.01967%0.0800.0000%0.00
Loy Vaught-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Curry-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01260%-0.0000.001100%-0.00
Jud Buechler-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Don Reid-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.021657%0.063-0.071070%-0.03
John Crotty-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.000.05470%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Jerome Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02217%-0.041-0.00250%-0.01
Eric Montross-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.040.011150%-0.032-0.052100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.02923%-0.1100.00475%0.00
Grant Hill-0.180,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.14-0.04-0.001947%-0.084-0.101573%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.01-0.051853%0.072-0.002100%0.01
Devean George0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.060.01-0.06733%0.0200.00425%-0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.02664%0.021-0.012100%0.01
John Celestand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.010100%0.001-0.002100%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.021854%0.043-0.05540%-0.05
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.07822%-0.0200.0020%-0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.022449%0.053-0.08580%0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.01638%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.03-0.0167%-0.102-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.732.016.524.21.838.2142.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +21.5%
DET -5.7%
LAL +27.0%
LAL +6.8%
LAL +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETLALNBADETLALNBA
this game13.716.015.295.9104.1101.7
season14.115.3104.2105.6
opponent15.115.398.1103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET12.014.217.112.113.7
LAL18.813.516.415.616.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Curry34330.03-0.530.57-0.2610-182811.714.8-3.1514.716.6-1.97
Loy Vaught1011-0.00-0.500.50-0.269-172610.514.1-3.5912.316.4-4.17
Don Reid99-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-6418.013.34.7218.115.72.36
Jud Buechler2729-0.14-0.360.22-0.357-152213.513.8-0.3315.416.2-0.84
Eric Montross2523-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-1-612.314.2-1.9413.416.8-3.38
Jerome Williams3737-0.20-0.300.100.07-91-1014.213.40.8417.015.31.62
Terry Mills4547-0.20-0.300.090.03-80-814.413.21.2216.715.21.50
John Crotty1819-0.20-0.300.09-0.262-101212.114.1-1.9812.216.9-4.67
Lindsey Hunter6362-0.20-0.300.09-0.06-5-3-214.212.91.2916.914.32.63
Christian Laettner6867-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.341-91013.414.4-0.9416.115.70.34
Grant Hill7676-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.02-146-2013.713.8-0.1116.215.20.99
Jerry Stackhouse7372-0.560.06-0.620.14-2416-4014.810.54.3416.713.73.03

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Horry56570.59-0.090.69-0.0221-133415.516.6-1.0315.011.83.19
Shaquille O'Neal80810.490.010.470.0216-82415.816.6-0.7514.111.72.44
Rick Fox77750.490.010.470.1312-41615.418.0-2.5613.913.20.64
Kobe Bryant69720.470.030.43-0.0016-82415.816.3-0.4514.312.12.16
Derek Fisher57570.400.100.29-0.1017-92615.416.8-1.4613.713.7-0.05
Ron Harper29300.100.40-0.290.1008-818.614.93.6814.813.21.61
Brian Shaw28250.030.47-0.430.27-816-2416.315.80.4512.114.3-2.16
Devean George31320.010.49-0.470.40-1321-3416.016.0-0.0012.414.4-2.01
John Celestand11100.000.50-0.500.26-917-2612.316.4-4.1710.514.1-3.59
A.C. Green4746-0.080.58-0.660.27-1220-3217.614.53.1112.115.2-3.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 87, WAS 1100.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
SEA 77, HOU 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
WAS 105, DEN 1160.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.6%