NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	5.2 [788]		MVP	J.R. Smith (DEN): +20.5%
Denver Nuggets	116		Comeback	1.9 [1189]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): -7.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	65%	0.14	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.04	19	60%	0.08	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.00
Mike James	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	10	50%	-0.06
Andray Blatche	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Darius Songaila	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.23	0.03	0.05	23	74%	0.25	4	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Nene	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	5	85%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.01	0.05	8	90%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	64%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	16	48%	0.09	5	-0.11	10	80%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	31.6	15.8	29.3	2.3	33.7	137.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +21.9%

DEN +11.2%

DEN +3.1%

DEN +15.2%

WAS -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	13.4	15.5	101.9	112.6	106.4
season	15.9	14.4		103.5	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.2	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.2	14.6	15.0	13.5	14.6
DEN	13.6	13.6	12.1	14.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	52	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-12	13	14.4	14.7	-0.30	12.8	14.0	-1.19
Oleksiy Pecherov	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-12	13	14.4	14.7	-0.36	13.0	13.6	-0.53
Javaris Crittenton	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-8	5	14.5	14.7	-0.26	13.2	13.5	-0.26
Mike James	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	14.2	15.2	-1.01	13.7	12.9	0.86
Andray Blatche	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-6	1	14.9	14.3	0.64	13.5	13.2	0.33
Antawn Jamison	63	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	0	-11	14.2	15.2	-0.99	13.5	13.1	0.39
Dominic McGuire	70	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	15.2	13.2	2.03	13.2	13.8	-0.63
Darius Songaila	56	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	1	-13	15.1	14.0	1.17	14.1	12.7	1.39
Nick Young	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.11	-12	1	-13	14.3	15.3	-1.01	13.2	13.8	-0.54

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	54	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	0	11	13.6	13.1	0.51	14.1	15.1	-0.97
J.R. Smith	74	74	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	0	11	13.7	12.6	1.14	14.6	14.6	-0.04
Carmelo Anthony	69	71	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	1	9	12.9	14.4	-1.47	14.9	14.0	0.86
Nene	55	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-2	15	13.3	13.5	-0.17	15.1	14.0	1.13
Chauncey Billups	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	2	7	12.9	14.4	-1.56	15.4	13.0	2.38
Anthony Carter	51	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	3	5	13.3	13.4	-0.07	14.0	15.2	-1.14
Chris Andersen	49	47	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	7	-3	13.1	13.6	-0.55	14.3	14.9	-0.58
Linas Kleiza	34	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	10	-9	14.4	12.9	1.47	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Kenyon Martin	42	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	14	-17	13.3	13.4	-0.06	15.1	14.2	0.93
Dahntay Jones	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	14.5	13.3	1.20	12.2	14.7	-2.51
Jason Hart	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	14.5	13.3	1.20	12.2	14.7	-2.51
Johan Petro	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	14.5	13.3	1.20	12.2	14.7	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAC 81, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
VAN 85, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%