NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	6.4 [542]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +5.7%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	1.2 [902]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -20.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	12	58%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Bryce Drew	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Walt Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	-0.00	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	3	40%	-0.02	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	6	36%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	12	42%	-0.02	8	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.1,-0.2	0.03	-0.18	0.05	15	61%	-0.13	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	56%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	14	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	10	70%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.04
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	12	62%	0.01	7	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.4	23.4	19.4	29.4	1.8	39.0	141.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +3.9%

BOS +23.2%

HOU -6.2%

BOS +27.6%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	15.2	95.0	99.0	101.7
season	15.4	14.7		102.4	102.4
opponent	15.1	14.6		103.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.9	14.9	12.6	15.2	14.4
BOS	11.4	12.3	16.8	16.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	38	38	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.26	9	-13	22	15.1	14.0	1.15	14.5	13.9	0.64
Thomas Hamilton	44	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-5	6	14.6	14.2	0.36	15.1	13.4	1.73
Matt Bullard	17	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	4	-12	15.8	14.1	1.66	12.1	14.5	-2.46
Bryce Drew	46	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-11	18	15.4	13.5	1.89	14.5	13.8	0.68
Cuttino Mobley	67	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.50	10	-14	24	14.0	15.1	-1.01	14.5	13.4	1.17
Kelvin Cato	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	4	-12	14.4	14.4	0.01	14.2	14.1	0.07
Walt Williams	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	10	-24	15.1	14.0	1.01	13.4	14.5	-1.17
Shandon Anderson	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-1	-2	14.2	14.9	-0.64	14.8	12.3	2.50
Steve Francis	68	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	3	-10	13.2	16.9	-3.75	13.1	16.3	-3.27
Carlos Rogers	76	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	3	-10	14.2	14.8	-0.60	13.9	14.9	-1.02

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	71	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-2	8	13.5	15.7	-2.28	14.7	13.7	1.03
Paul Pierce	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-2	8	13.5	15.7	-2.24	14.9	12.9	1.99
Antoine Walker	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	13.8	15.2	-1.42	14.8	13.0	1.79
Adrian Griffin	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	3	-2	13.9	14.7	-0.84	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Vitaly Potapenko	36	37	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	-3	10	15.1	13.6	1.57	14.8	14.2	0.58
Dana Barros	26	25	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	-1	6	14.9	13.9	1.07	12.9	14.9	-2.00
Calbert Cheaney	34	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	5	-6	14.4	14.0	0.47	13.6	14.8	-1.16
Walter McCarty	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	1	2	15.2	13.8	1.42	13.0	14.8	-1.79
Eric Williams	25	24	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	3	-2	15.1	13.8	1.32	13.6	14.6	-1.00
Pervis Ellison	20	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	6	-8	12.3	14.6	-2.22	15.2	14.2	1.02
Doug Overton	5	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	17.0	14.0	3.02	18.5	14.2	4.28
Tony Battie	42	42	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	8	-12	15.1	13.5	1.61	14.3	14.5	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.68,0.9,0.76,0.6,0.55,0.89,0.86,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.91,0.99,1	92.0%
LAC 91, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.89,0.97,0.92,1	91.5%
WAS 89, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	91.5%