NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	117		Excitement	4.3 [940]		MVP	Emanual Davis (SEA): +10.1%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	1.1 [1175]		LVP	Jason Caffey (GSW): -10.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	-0.00	8	89%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	16	71%	0.14	5	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	8	75%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.04	7	57%	0.01
Vin Baker	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	20	49%	0.03	4	-0.03	11	64%	-0.00
Greg Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	10	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	9	73%	0.04	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	17	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Tony Farmer	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	12	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	14	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	10	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	13	42%	-0.06	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	25.3	15.7	25.2	1.7	36.2	129.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +42.4%

SEA +9.7%

SEA +3.6%

GSW -5.9%

SEA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.2	117.0	108.0	101.7
season	14.9	14.7		103.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.4		105.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.3	14.0	16.8	15.5	14.6
GSW	13.4	16.0	14.5	13.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	73	75	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-5	19	14.2	15.4	-1.23	15.0	12.0	3.05
Horace Grant	86	85	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-4	17	14.7	13.4	1.39	14.2	14.4	-0.18
Ruben Patterson	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-6	21	13.9	16.0	-2.13	14.3	14.2	0.10
Gary Payton	83	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-4	17	14.5	14.9	-0.47	14.0	15.4	-1.39
Brent Barry	69	68	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	6	-3	14.7	14.2	0.56	13.7	15.5	-1.79
Emanual Davis	42	44	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	9	-9	14.0	14.9	-0.87	14.9	13.7	1.22
Rashard Lewis	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	15	-21	15.6	13.8	1.80	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Greg Foster	17	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	11	-13	14.1	14.6	-0.52	13.5	14.4	-0.87

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Carr	38	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.37	12	-21	33	12.9	15.1	-2.19	15.6	14.0	1.66
Tony Farmer	75	76	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.35	7	-16	23	13.1	17.8	-4.79	15.0	13.0	1.98
Vonteego Cummings	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-5	1	14.0	14.5	-0.47	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Terry Cummings	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-3	-3	15.0	13.9	1.04	13.7	14.9	-1.21
Jason Caffey	57	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-7	5	15.1	13.2	1.91	14.3	14.8	-0.49
Adonal Foyle	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	5	-19	14.8	13.7	1.06	14.4	14.7	-0.36
Mookie Blaylock	74	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	0	-9	14.2	14.5	-0.29	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Tim Legler	44	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	9	-27	15.5	13.3	2.23	13.8	15.2	-1.44
Antawn Jamison	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	2	-13	14.3	13.8	0.50	15.3	11.6	3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 91, MIN 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
LAL 100, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
MIL 107, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%