NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	2.9 [1179]		MVP	Gary Payton (LAL): +9.1%
New Jersey Nets	83		Comeback	1.0 [582]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -8.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	9	76%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	83%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	54%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	47%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	9	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	12	42%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	3	133%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	8	55%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	10	35%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	0.03	9	59%	-0.04	3	-0.04	14	57%	-0.05
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	42%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	31.4	16.5	22.9	2.0	24.0	125.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.0%

LAL +4.4%

LAL +3.7%

LAL +9.5%

LAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NJN	NBA	LAL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.5	15.7	106.4	89.2	100.5
season	15.4	15.3		102.8	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.6		95.2	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	14.7	17.0	15.4	15.4
NJN	15.0	16.6	13.7	16.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	60	60	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.25	26	-9	35	14.9	16.2	-1.34	15.7	15.0	0.75
Gary Payton	59	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	-6	29	15.3	15.5	-0.17	14.7	16.6	-1.89
Kobe Bryant	65	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	-2	21	15.3	15.5	-0.24	14.7	17.4	-2.70
Horace Grant	45	44	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.16	17	0	17	15.5	15.2	0.35	15.4	15.5	-0.12
Devean George	43	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	0	17	15.2	15.5	-0.35	16.2	14.8	1.45
Rick Fox	35	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	10	-3	15.4	15.3	0.12	14.1	16.3	-2.24
Kareem Rush	29	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	19	-21	15.5	15.3	0.24	17.4	14.7	2.70
Slava Medvedenko	35	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	18	-19	15.5	15.3	0.21	14.6	16.0	-1.33
Brian Cook	32	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	18	-19	15.7	15.2	0.51	15.5	15.4	0.05
Derek Fisher	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	23	-29	15.5	15.3	0.17	16.6	14.7	1.89
Luke Walton	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	15.7	15.3	0.41	16.5	15.3	1.21
Bryon Russell	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	15.7	15.3	0.41	16.5	15.3	1.21

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	12	14	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.26	9	-26	35	16.0	15.4	0.63	14.4	15.5	-1.17
Hubert Davis	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-26	35	16.0	15.4	0.63	15.5	15.3	0.13
Brandon Armstrong	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-26	35	16.9	15.3	1.56	16.6	15.2	1.33
Zoran Planinic	36	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-20	23	16.4	14.8	1.62	16.1	14.9	1.20
Aaron Williams	44	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-22	27	16.8	14.2	2.64	15.6	15.1	0.56
Lucious Harris	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.22	-12	-5	-7	16.5	14.8	1.65	15.5	15.3	0.16
Rodney Rogers	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-4	-9	15.4	15.5	-0.11	16.2	14.9	1.29
Kenyon Martin	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.27	-19	2	-21	15.5	15.4	0.13	15.1	15.7	-0.56
Jason Collins	45	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.14	-17	0	-17	14.2	16.6	-2.47	15.3	15.4	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	3	-23	14.8	16.4	-1.63	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Richard Jefferson	69	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.13	-19	2	-21	15.0	16.6	-1.58	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Jason Kidd	57	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	3	-23	14.8	16.4	-1.62	14.9	16.1	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DAL 91, MIN 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
ORL 100, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%