NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	100		Excitement	3.5 [888]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +13.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	1.0 [926]		LVP	Luke Walton (CLE): -10.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.02	14	68%	0.18	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Daniel Orton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	4	69%	0.09	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Earl Clark	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	5	93%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.06	13	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.09	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	62%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	8	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	0.10	13	55%	-0.05	4	-0.05	12	83%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	25.6	15.5	27.2	1.8	27.0	125.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +42.2%

CLE -0.5%

CLE -8.1%

ORL +17.0%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.4	16.2	15.6	112.4	95.5	102.8
season	16.2	15.5		102.8	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.8		107.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.3	16.4	15.5	18.4	16.4
CLE	16.8	16.4	16.5	15.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-2	20	15.9	17.6	-1.68	16.7	14.4	2.37
Jameer Nelson	51	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	1	14	15.6	17.3	-1.67	17.2	14.7	2.48
JJ Redick	61	60	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	3	10	16.0	17.2	-1.19	15.9	16.9	-0.99
Jason Richardson	61	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	9	-2	15.9	17.4	-1.46	15.7	17.2	-1.57
Earl Clark	43	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	12	-8	16.3	16.4	-0.02	16.3	16.1	0.24
Quentin Richardson	28	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	7	2	17.4	15.9	1.46	17.2	15.7	1.57
Daniel Orton	56	53	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	13	-10	16.9	15.4	1.58	15.2	17.7	-2.45
Von Wafer	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	13	-10	17.2	16.0	1.19	16.9	15.9	0.99
Glen Davis	13	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	9	-2	16.1	16.4	-0.33	16.8	16.1	0.78
Chris Duhon	38	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	15	-14	17.3	15.6	1.67	14.7	17.2	-2.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lester Hudson	27	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-13	10	16.5	16.0	0.49	18.3	15.4	2.94
Luke Walton	24	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-9	2	15.8	16.3	-0.54	18.6	15.5	3.17
Manny Harris	38	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-11	6	15.9	16.4	-0.55	17.2	15.7	1.41
Samardo Samuels	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-11	6	15.8	16.5	-0.68	16.9	16.0	0.98
Omri Casspi	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-6	-4	17.2	15.7	1.54	17.4	15.8	1.61
Alonzo Gee	58	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-10	4	15.7	17.2	-1.54	15.8	17.4	-1.61
Anthony Parker	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-5	-6	16.4	15.9	0.55	15.7	17.2	-1.41
Tristan Thompson	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-5	-6	16.5	15.8	0.68	16.0	16.9	-0.98
Antawn Jamison	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-7	-2	16.3	15.8	0.54	15.5	18.6	-3.17
Donald Sloan	61	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-3	-10	16.0	16.5	-0.49	15.4	18.3	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 117, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
LAL 100, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
CHI 99, ATL 82	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%