NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	3.0 [1197]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +20.1%
Atlanta Hawks	82		Comeback	1.0 [952]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -6.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.20	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.25	0.00	0.05	27	70%	0.23	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.04	6	92%	0.10	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	5	57%	0.05	2	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	10	33%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.00	0.08	13	68%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	59%	0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	-0.00	1	0.01	1	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	14	47%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	37%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	38%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	29.8	15.0	29.8	2.7	32.0	140.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +32.1%

CHI +5.7%

CHI +11.2%

CHI +0.4%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	17.2	17.5	15.5	119.3	98.8	105.7
season	15.7	16.5		106.5	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.9		105.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.1	14.4	17.6	20.5	17.2
ATL	18.1	21.6	15.9	14.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	2	13	17.3	16.3	1.02	17.2	19.6	-2.38
Derrick Rose	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	0	17	17.0	18.1	-1.15	17.0	19.7	-2.70
Joakim Noah	60	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	2	13	16.1	20.0	-3.88	17.2	18.3	-1.10
Carlos Boozer	40	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	8	1	15.3	18.9	-3.56	18.1	17.0	1.13
Keith Bogans	33	34	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	7	3	16.8	17.5	-0.67	17.8	17.3	0.49
Taj Gibson	43	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	9	-1	18.9	15.3	3.56	17.0	18.1	-1.13
Kyle Korver	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	9	-1	17.2	17.2	-0.05	18.2	17.1	1.09
Omer Asik	23	23	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	15	-13	20.0	16.1	3.88	18.3	17.2	1.10
Ronnie Brewer	24	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	16	-15	17.3	17.2	0.14	18.7	17.0	1.68
CJ Watson	16	16	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	17	-17	18.1	17.0	1.15	19.7	17.0	2.70
Rasual Butler	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	17.8	17.2	0.65	7.7	18.0	-10.25

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-23	29	13.3	18.3	-4.98	20.1	16.6	3.55
Josh Powell	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	12.0	17.9	-5.94	22.0	16.7	5.25
Pape Sy	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	12.0	17.9	-5.94	22.0	16.7	5.25
Hilton Armstrong	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	12.0	17.9	-5.94	22.0	16.7	5.25
Zaza Pachulia	16	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-20	23	16.4	17.8	-1.40	21.0	16.4	4.58
Jason Collins	2	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-16	15	20.5	17.4	3.07	19.0	17.1	1.87
Jamal Crawford	50	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-8	-1	17.4	17.7	-0.27	17.1	17.3	-0.23
Marvin Williams	40	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-2	-13	19.5	15.6	3.90	16.5	17.8	-1.38
Josh Smith	72	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	-1	-15	17.6	16.9	0.69	16.7	19.8	-3.09
Jeff Teague	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	-1	-15	17.3	19.1	-1.81	16.9	18.8	-1.87
Joe Johnson	66	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	3	-23	17.9	16.1	1.82	16.7	19.1	-2.38
Al Horford	65	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.29	-28	11	-39	18.7	13.3	5.33	15.9	22.2	-6.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 106, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
TOR 97, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	96.9%
MIN 91, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	96.8%