NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	107		Excitement	7.0 [429]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +20.9%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	5.9 [72]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -24.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	12	58%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	14	58%	0.12	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.03
Jerome Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	16	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.02	16	59%	0.06	5	-0.13	12	83%	0.03
Christian Laettner	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	51%	-0.07	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.10	-0.03	12	71%	0.21	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	14	70%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	8	69%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	14	68%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	8	53%	0.05	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	6	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	7	19%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.15	-0.10	-0.01	11	28%	-0.16	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	29.3	17.4	25.4	2.5	36.5	134.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -1.4%

DET +32.1%

DET +32.6%

IND -9.4%

IND -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	15.1	15.2	110.3	103.1	101.7
season	14.1	15.4		104.2	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.3		101.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.4	13.2	16.5	15.2	14.8
IND	15.0	14.5	17.0	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	51	50	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.18	13	-5	18	12.8	16.9	-4.09	15.5	14.7	0.83
Lindsey Hunter	86	85	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-6	20	14.9	13.6	1.27	15.4	12.6	2.76
Terry Mills	56	55	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	3	2	17.1	11.6	5.42	15.5	14.5	1.08
Jud Buechler	8	8	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-2	12	17.6	14.5	3.12	22.2	14.4	7.82
Grant Hill	65	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	0	8	14.2	16.0	-1.85	14.3	16.6	-2.27
Jerry Stackhouse	84	85	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	7	-6	15.1	12.8	2.30	14.8	16.9	-2.06
Eric Montross	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	6	-4	10.9	15.4	-4.43	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Jermaine Jackson	11	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	14	-20	13.6	14.9	-1.27	12.6	15.4	-2.76
Christian Laettner	74	74	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	12	-16	15.0	13.9	1.17	14.5	17.1	-2.60
Michael Curry	37	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	11	-14	14.5	14.9	-0.40	15.4	14.9	0.53

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	75	75	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-15	22	14.1	18.8	-4.71	15.0	14.1	0.87
Jalen Rose	71	72	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.16	8	-16	24	14.3	17.4	-3.19	15.1	13.7	1.41
Rik Smits	68	68	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-15	22	14.5	16.6	-2.15	15.7	12.6	3.15
Mark Jackson	58	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-7	6	14.4	16.1	-1.74	15.2	14.1	1.15
Travis Best	38	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	16.1	14.4	1.74	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Reggie Miller	82	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-4	0	14.9	16.0	-1.07	15.0	13.5	1.48
Sam Perkins	25	25	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	5	-18	17.7	14.2	3.57	14.3	14.9	-0.65
Austin Croshere	24	26	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	9	-26	17.3	14.3	3.00	12.2	15.7	-3.51
Al Harrington	39	39	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.06	-20	12	-32	16.9	13.8	3.10	13.6	15.5	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.06,0,0	93.4%
NYK 101, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.8%
PHI 99, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.17,0	91.8%