NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	8.4 [173]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +56.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	5.8 [114]		LVP	Rodney Carney (PHI): -13.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.44	0.03	0.41	0.00	21	48%	0.44	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.05
Andre Miller	0.32	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.32	0.13	0.21	0.02	18	63%	0.37	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	5	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Jason Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	45%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.07
Rodney Carney	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.56	0.56	0.15	0.42	0.01	20	65%	0.61	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Casey Jacobsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.06	-0.02	13	68%	0.17	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	67%	0.06	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	18	45%	0.02	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.3	29.4	15.8	28.2	2.4	38.9	141.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -1.3%

PHI +11.3%

PHI +5.5%

PHI +28.0%

PHI +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.4	104.2	102.1	105.7
season	15.2	14.9		104.0	103.3
opponent	14.9	16.2		109.9	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	13.7	14.7	14.0	14.5
MEM	15.1	15.7	16.7	15.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	33	38	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.61	10	-8	18	13.3	15.1	-1.75	14.7	16.6	-1.89
Kyle Korver	65	67	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.49	12	-10	22	13.6	16.4	-2.82	15.9	15.7	0.23
Samuel Dalembert	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	2	-2	15.4	11.7	3.72	15.4	17.2	-1.88
Andre Iguodala	73	73	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.48	-4	6	-10	14.6	13.9	0.73	16.1	15.0	1.16
Thaddeus Young	42	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	-2	6	13.9	14.9	-1.02	17.0	14.8	2.16
Andre Miller	70	67	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	6	-10	15.2	12.4	2.76	16.1	15.3	0.74
Jason Smith	26	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	5	-8	12.7	15.1	-2.45	14.6	16.3	-1.69
Rodney Carney	40	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	3	-4	14.5	14.5	0.00	15.3	16.2	-0.86
Reggie Evans	54	54	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	6	-10	15.2	13.6	1.61	16.5	14.9	1.61

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Brown	11	11	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.19	3	-5	8	15.6	15.9	-0.23	14.3	14.5	-0.23
Stromile Swift	34	36	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.00	5	-7	12	14.6	16.5	-1.95	15.9	13.6	2.23
Darko Milicic	22	21	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-3	4	17.6	15.3	2.28	15.1	14.3	0.80
Damon Stoudamire	66	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.29	9	-11	20	15.6	16.4	-0.77	14.8	13.7	1.03
Casey Jacobsen	6	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	1	-4	18.5	15.7	2.84	7.7	14.8	-7.02
Rudy Gay	80	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-3	4	15.9	15.3	0.60	14.6	13.8	0.82
Pau Gasol	90	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-1	0	15.7	18.0	-2.28	14.4	16.0	-1.61
Mike Miller	85	86	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.43	-6	4	-10	16.1	13.9	2.17	14.9	10.8	4.08
Juan Carlos Navarro	51	49	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.53	-6	4	-10	15.6	16.1	-0.46	13.3	15.7	-2.41
Kyle Lowry	30	29	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.48	-13	11	-24	15.9	15.8	0.04	13.4	15.0	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.06,0,0	93.3%
PHX 88, LAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.8%
SAS 91, UTA 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.38,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%