NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	7.0 [418]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +18.1%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	1.1 [1148]		LVP	Erick Strickland (DAL): -23.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	69%	0.13	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Rick Hughes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	13	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.12	-0.04	34	49%	-0.01	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	12	52%	0.02	7	-0.18	3	67%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24	-0.20	-0.06	-0.02	15	41%	-0.07	8	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.00	20	77%	0.29	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	11	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	9	28%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	0.04	9	73%	0.04	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	11	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	30.0	15.8	25.1	1.8	37.3	135.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +21.0%

ORL +4.3%

ORL +15.9%

ORL +7.6%

ORL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	12.5	15.2	93.5	107.7	101.7
season	14.8	13.6		104.2	100.4
opponent	15.4	14.8		99.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	14.1	15.3	14.3	14.8
ORL	12.0	12.1	13.5	12.4	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Hughes	31	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-13	14	16.2	14.2	1.95	13.4	12.1	1.33
Sean Rooks	26	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.17	-11	-1	-10	15.3	14.6	0.70	11.6	12.7	-1.13
Hubert Davis	96	93	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-4	-4	14.4	18.3	-3.90	12.5	12.1	0.45
Shawn Bradley	81	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-11	10	14.6	15.3	-0.70	12.7	11.6	1.13
Dirk Nowitzki	96	95	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-1	-10	14.6	16.6	-2.07	12.4	13.3	-0.92
Michael Finley	107	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	14.8	0.0	14.78	12.5	0.0	12.49
Erick Strickland	98	95	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	6	-24	14.9	13.0	1.94	12.2	15.2	-2.99

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	82	83	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.09	18	-6	24	12.1	14.0	-1.86	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Chris Gatling	63	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-3	18	12.8	12.0	0.73	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	59	61	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	0	12	11.2	14.2	-3.01	14.7	14.9	-0.28
Pat Garrity	42	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	9	-6	13.1	12.1	1.01	16.8	13.4	3.45
Bo Outlaw	48	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	2	8	13.3	11.8	1.53	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Monty Williams	62	64	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	7	-2	11.9	13.4	-1.53	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Anthony Parker	42	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	8	-4	13.7	11.7	1.97	15.1	14.5	0.61
Ben Wallace	50	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	13	-14	12.2	12.8	-0.56	15.4	14.2	1.25
Michael Doleac	32	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	8	-4	10.8	13.2	-2.38	15.0	14.7	0.36
John Amaechi	18	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	16	-20	15.3	11.9	3.37	11.5	15.5	-3.97
Chucky Atkins	22	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	18	-24	14.0	12.1	1.86	15.4	14.6	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 69, LAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CHA 91, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,0.99,1,1	93.9%
LAC 96, DEN 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%