NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	110		Excitement	6.7 [482]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (SEA): +52.4%
Vancouver Grizzlies	108		Comeback	999.0 [2]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -26.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.52	0.11	0.48	0.06	17	66%	0.57	1	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	17	53%	-0.01	1	-0.01	11	73%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chuck Person	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	43%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	13	68%	0.16	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.02
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	59%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Stephens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	13	45%	-0.03	3	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	13	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.26	-0.26	0.01	-0.26	0.01	19	69%	0.25	7	-0.52	7	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.4	28.9	15.7	22.7	2.4	46.4	146.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -1.3%

SEA +0.1%

VAN -8.5%

SEA +56.3%

SEA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	VAN	NBA	SEA	VAN	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	15.2	114.6	110.2	101.7
season	14.9	15.9		103.5	99.5
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.9	16.3	16.2	11.2	14.6
VAN	16.4	13.2	15.1	15.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	77	76	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-11	24	14.0	16.8	-2.83	15.5	13.9	1.61
Gary Payton	80	81	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-6	14	14.2	16.4	-2.24	15.5	13.5	1.99
Emanual Davis	13	15	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.47	6	-4	10	15.0	14.5	0.49	12.7	15.6	-2.89
Horace Grant	83	84	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-7	16	14.3	16.1	-1.74	15.1	15.4	-0.37
Vernon Maxwell	62	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.55	-2	4	-6	13.8	16.0	-2.26	14.2	16.9	-2.71
Greg Foster	29	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.32	-12	14	-26	16.7	13.7	3.03	13.4	15.8	-2.46
Chuck Person	27	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.14	1	1	0	12.9	15.2	-2.29	17.7	13.9	3.80
Rashard Lewis	13	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	8	-14	16.6	14.3	2.36	13.5	15.4	-1.86
Ruben Patterson	40	39	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	6	-10	14.8	14.4	0.47	15.4	14.9	0.45
Vin Baker	56	57	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.16	-3	5	-8	16.0	12.5	3.51	15.6	14.4	1.16

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	33	33	0.47	-0.97	1.44	0.00	16	-18	34	13.6	15.9	-2.32	17.2	13.2	4.02
Joe Stephens	40	40	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.15	5	-7	12	14.4	15.6	-1.25	14.9	14.4	0.52
Bryant Reeves	61	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.27	-11	9	-20	16.7	12.4	4.31	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	87	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.58	6	-8	14	15.3	13.3	2.07	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Othella Harrington	89	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.50	0	-2	2	14.9	17.0	-2.08	14.7	13.2	1.49
Brent Price	39	38	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.68	2	-4	6	14.4	15.6	-1.25	14.3	14.8	-0.47
Michael Dickerson	76	74	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.40	-14	12	-26	15.4	14.2	1.20	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Mike Bibby	65	64	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.48	-14	12	-26	14.9	15.5	-0.61	13.9	15.9	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.99,1,1,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.85,0.92,0	90.8%
MIN 96, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.92,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.84,0	90.1%
BOS 93, CLE 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.73,0	89.3%