NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	7.4 [337]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +47.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	40.7 [31]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (CLE): -16.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.02,0.47	-0.01	0.51	0.03	18	48%	0.55	2	-0.08	8	62%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	14	63%	0.13	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Shavlik Randolph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	1	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05	-0.09	0.05	0.01	16	53%	0.11	7	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Jordan Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	8	63%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	21%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.13	0.13	-0.00	0.12	-0.02	13	46%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.07	-0.04	5	60%	0.12	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.00	16	47%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Shaun Livingston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.1,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.13	-0.02	13	43%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.5	27.7	16.5	24.6	2.0	33.0	134.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.8%

BOS +9.8%

CLE -11.4%

BOS +6.8%

BOS +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.1	14.5	15.4	93.0	90.2	104.1
season	14.9	15.5		101.2	102.5
opponent	15.2	16.2		107.7	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.4	12.5	15.3	14.3	14.1
CLE	15.6	13.7	14.1	14.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	57	59	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.56	11	-10	21	12.6	16.0	-3.36	14.0	15.1	-1.07
Jason Terry	44	47	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.61	5	-4	9	12.7	15.2	-2.50	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Paul Pierce	74	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-3	7	14.3	13.3	0.96	14.7	13.7	0.97
Jeff Green	84	86	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	0	1	14.6	11.3	3.27	14.5	14.2	0.31
Avery Bradley	74	76	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.36	1	0	1	14.5	12.8	1.69	14.5	14.4	0.04
Brandon Bass	76	76	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.08	0	1	-1	14.4	12.9	1.50	14.5	14.3	0.14
Shavlik Randolph	19	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	5	-9	13.0	14.3	-1.31	15.1	14.3	0.87
Chris Wilcox	41	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	6	-11	15.9	12.8	3.16	15.0	14.1	0.92
Terrence Williams	31	30	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	9	-17	12.9	14.6	-1.63	13.6	14.8	-1.25

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	50	49	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.18	7	-8	15	14.9	14.0	0.84	14.6	13.5	1.04
Marreese Speights	40	39	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.14	1	-2	3	14.0	14.7	-0.70	12.6	15.0	-2.37
Chris Quinn	28	26	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.12	1	-2	3	15.1	14.2	0.95	13.1	14.4	-1.28
Tyler Zeller	46	46	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-4	7	15.8	13.3	2.47	15.4	12.9	2.43
Daniel Gibson	45	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.15	-6	5	-11	14.0	14.8	-0.77	13.9	14.2	-0.27
Shaun Livingston	61	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.59	3	-4	7	14.8	14.0	0.79	14.3	13.8	0.47
Alonzo Gee	61	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.66	2	-3	5	14.8	14.0	0.79	14.2	13.9	0.31
CJ Miles	62	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.56	-2	1	-3	13.1	16.5	-3.37	13.7	14.5	-0.77
Wayne Ellington	70	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.62	0	-1	1	14.2	15.1	-0.89	14.3	13.4	0.93
Luke Walton	47	45	-0.97	0.47	-1.45	-0.56	-14	13	-27	14.4	14.5	-0.17	13.6	14.4	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.85,0.92,0	91.6%
CHI 108, NYK 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.69,0.81,0.91,0.96,0.79,0.9,0.73,0	90.7%
WAS 91, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,0	90.6%