NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	6.7 [472]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +6.7%
Houston Rockets	87		Comeback	5.5 [159]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -17.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	11	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.07
Al Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.08	0.03	13	56%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.10
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	72%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	11	55%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	6	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.03	12	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	8	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	0.04	17	53%	0.03	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	10	23%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.18,-0.23,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	21	43%	0.00	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.0	27.0	17.4	24.7	2.3	37.5	131.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -6.2%

IND +48.0%

HOU -14.9%

IND +22.8%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	15.1	15.2	98.0	88.8	101.7
season	15.4	15.4		106.5	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.1		103.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	16.0	13.7	13.7	14.2
HOU	17.0	13.5	16.3	14.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	75	74	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-4	17	13.9	15.3	-1.44	15.7	13.5	2.18
Sam Perkins	57	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-2	13	13.9	14.7	-0.80	13.9	16.9	-3.05
Travis Best	35	35	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	1	7	15.3	13.7	1.57	15.7	14.8	0.89
Al Harrington	63	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	4	1	14.3	14.2	0.03	14.2	16.7	-2.54
Austin Croshere	31	31	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	2	5	14.9	13.9	0.96	15.7	14.9	0.88
Dale Davis	67	67	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	7	-5	13.9	14.9	-0.96	14.9	15.7	-0.88
Mark Jackson	57	57	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	5	-1	13.9	14.8	-0.92	14.8	15.6	-0.84
Chris Mullin	21	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	11	-13	15.1	14.0	1.08	13.2	15.7	-2.47
Jalen Rose	43	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	10	-11	14.1	14.4	-0.27	16.5	14.0	2.50
Rik Smits	41	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	11	-13	14.7	13.9	0.80	16.9	13.9	3.05

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	28	28	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-11	13	13.5	15.8	-2.30	14.3	14.2	0.06
Shandon Anderson	33	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	-2	-5	18.3	13.5	4.81	13.8	14.5	-0.64
Carlos Rogers	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-12	15	15.0	15.2	-0.25	14.8	14.0	0.79
Bryce Drew	21	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-9	9	13.9	15.5	-1.64	17.0	13.5	3.52
Tony Massenburg	27	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-8	7	15.3	15.1	0.21	14.6	14.1	0.50
Hakeem Olajuwon	71	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-1	-7	15.1	15.3	-0.21	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Walt Williams	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	0	-9	15.1	15.3	-0.22	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Steve Francis	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	0	-9	15.5	13.9	1.64	13.5	17.0	-3.52
Cuttino Mobley	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	13.8	18.4	-4.69	14.5	13.7	0.84
Charles Barkley	70	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.25	-11	2	-13	15.8	13.5	2.30	14.2	14.3	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0	91.7%
UTA 109, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.22,0.39,0.28,0.11,0.01,0	91.6%
HOU 112, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.06,0.16,0	91.4%