inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 112 Excitement10.6 [38] MVPCedric Henderson (CLE): +10.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers 117 Comeback2.2 [500] LVPSam Cassell (MIL): -22.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1-0.010.10-0.011463%0.184-0.097100%0.03
Ervin Johnson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.00478%0.071-0.021100%0.00
J.R. Reid0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00475%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Danny Manning0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dale Ellis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.04-0.01926%-0.0100.0010%-0.01
Glenn Robinson-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.2,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.090.011763%0.218-0.231776%0.03
Robert Traylor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01362%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Tim Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00280%0.042-0.0710%-0.03
Vinny Del Negro-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02420%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Haywoode Workman-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.02-0.170.00736%-0.1900.0000%0.00
Sam Cassell-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.23-0.07-0.150.001948%-0.133-0.10887%0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cedric Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.10.10-0.030.12-0.01950%0.141-0.04633%-0.09
Trajan Langdon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.060.060.09-0.03-0.00680%0.0600.003100%0.04
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00275%0.031-0.024100%0.02
Benoit Benjamin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.011564%0.074-0.08650%-0.03
Ryan Stack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.03-0.01458%0.043-0.05475%0.01
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.030.00564%0.022-0.07425%-0.10
Danny Ferry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.01-0.01430%-0.022-0.04250%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.01-0.080.001255%-0.0800.00989%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.001152%-0.023-0.063100%0.01
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1-0.10-0.120.02-0.011341%0.003-0.108100%0.13
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.81.534.526.729.61.841.2161.1
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +8.1%
CLE +14.3%
CLE +1.6%
CLE +21.2%
CLE +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILCLENBAMILCLENBA
this game14.912.915.2107.7113.6101.7
season14.914.1105.598.0
opponent15.315.4101.5105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.213.914.617.414.9
CLE11.912.313.713.912.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Reid63630.04-0.540.58-0.146-111714.415.7-1.3313.412.11.22
Haywoode Workman3637-0.04-0.460.41-0.226-111717.113.83.2614.512.02.57
Dale Ellis3031-0.17-0.330.17-0.05-4-1-315.814.61.1913.112.80.25
Vinny Del Negro3331-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-1-313.515.6-2.0612.513.0-0.49
Ervin Johnson4241-0.21-0.290.08-0.241-6714.915.0-0.1112.912.90.02
Robert Traylor4646-0.21-0.290.080.05-94-1315.114.80.3711.813.8-1.93
Danny Manning1919-0.26-0.24-0.010.09-127-1914.715.0-0.2312.812.9-0.06
Tim Thomas3332-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.09-72-915.014.90.0713.412.70.74
Ray Allen5453-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.28-3-2-114.615.2-0.6112.812.9-0.09
Sam Cassell7979-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.35-1-4314.815.4-0.6812.813.2-0.47
Glenn Robinson8583-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.502-7914.914.80.1012.414.9-2.55

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brevin Knight57580.64-0.140.780.437-2912.713.2-0.5116.213.32.90
Shawn Kemp71730.59-0.090.680.397-2912.414.1-1.7414.316.4-2.09
Andre Miller54540.470.030.430.3250513.412.31.1214.115.8-1.65
Trajan Langdon44430.430.070.360.237-2914.211.92.2116.513.82.75
Danny Ferry50500.400.100.30-0.0415-102511.614.1-2.4715.214.70.46
Cedric Henderson60600.240.26-0.020.33-38-1113.112.60.5014.315.8-1.47
Benoit Benjamin430.040.46-0.410.0114-310.513.0-2.4923.714.79.00
Andrew DeClercq44460.000.50-0.49-0.0314-313.212.70.5016.713.63.10
Ryan Stack2728-0.030.53-0.570.05-38-1112.912.9-0.0614.615.0-0.38
Bob Sura7174-0.100.60-0.690.08-611-1712.114.7-2.6514.017.2-3.20
Mark Bryant3331-0.180.68-0.87-0.01-611-1715.211.83.3213.015.7-2.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 93, IND 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.61,0.47,0.63,0.45,0.73,191.7%
OKC 115, PHX 1220.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.72,191.3%
GSW 92, DEN 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.57,0.84,191.0%