NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	10.9 [28]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +81.1%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	18.8 [74]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -37.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.72	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.72	0.03	0.69	-0.00	13	55%	0.87	2	-0.14	7	86%	0.07
Emeka Okafor	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.06	0.01	8	79%	0.19	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Jason Smith	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	5	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	14	44%	0.00	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.10
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.00	8	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Andersen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	9	30%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.22	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.09	-0.04	13	14%	-0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	11	54%	0.02	6	-0.25	6	100%	0.09

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.81	0.81	-0.07	0.87	-0.00	11	33%	0.85	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.6	0.60	0.15	0.45	-0.00	7	107%	0.64	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	11	75%	0.25	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,-0.19	-0.19	0.06	-0.25	0.00	22	52%	-0.17	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.18	-0.20	-0.02	10	10%	-0.15	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.7	31.2	16.5	26.4	2.4	34.6	141.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +103.8%

NOH -36.6%

NOH -38.4%

IND +15.3%

IND +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	IND	NBA	NOH	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	13.7	15.5	96.9	96.9	105.7
season	16.2	14.7		104.6	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.9		104.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.5	14.4	14.9	17.0	16.2
IND	11.5	13.9	14.5	14.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	63	64	0.88	-1.38	2.26	0.67	7	-8	15	17.2	14.1	3.12	14.4	12.2	2.20
David Andersen	12	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-1	1	18.1	15.9	2.19	15.3	13.5	1.78
David West	70	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-7	13	15.7	17.5	-1.83	13.8	13.4	0.45
Emeka Okafor	67	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.37	7	-8	15	15.8	17.0	-1.19	14.5	11.8	2.74
Marcus Thornton	40	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	5	-11	17.5	15.2	2.37	13.3	13.9	-0.60
Chris Paul	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.42	1	-2	3	15.6	18.0	-2.44	13.4	14.7	-1.28
Jason Smith	27	29	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	9	-19	17.2	15.8	1.42	12.0	14.4	-2.41
Jarrett Jack	51	51	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.53	-5	4	-9	15.8	16.6	-0.73	14.1	13.2	0.86
Trevor Ariza	76	75	-1.27	0.77	-2.04	-1.13	-5	4	-9	15.4	18.9	-3.52	12.8	16.7	-3.87

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	55	55	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.74	1	0	1	13.5	13.9	-0.38	16.4	15.9	0.55
Jeff Foster	42	43	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-4	9	14.0	13.5	0.50	16.9	15.5	1.38
Danny Granger	71	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-5	11	13.5	14.3	-0.84	16.6	14.7	1.88
James Posey	38	38	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	2	-3	14.1	13.4	0.64	15.4	16.7	-1.28
T.J. Ford	41	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	4	-7	14.0	13.5	0.49	16.8	15.8	0.99
Roy Hibbert	47	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	-2	5	14.2	13.2	0.97	17.7	14.7	2.97
Darren Collison	68	70	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	0	1	13.8	13.4	0.35	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Solomon Jones	38	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	1	-1	12.4	14.5	-2.13	14.2	17.3	-3.16
Tyler Hansbrough	20	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	5	-9	13.6	13.7	-0.05	15.2	16.4	-1.16
Brandon Rush	65	62	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.10	-3	4	-7	13.8	13.5	0.28	15.4	17.6	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.61,0.47,0.63,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.84,1	91.9%
GSW 89, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.91,1	91.8%
MIL 112, CLE 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,1	91.7%