inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 110 Excitement6.1 [588] MVPMichael Curry (DET): +15.8%
Boston Celtics 92 Comeback1.2 [496] LVPVitaly Potapenko (BOS): -24.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Curry0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.080.080.004100%0.1600.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.020.04687%0.111-0.031191%0.01
Lindsey Hunter0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.001454%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Jud Buechler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Grant Hill-0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.04-0.041841%0.012-0.01367%0.01
Marcus Brown-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.020.00860%0.042-0.064100%0.02
Don Reid-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.050,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.002159%0.095-0.14989%0.01
Loy Vaught-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Terry Mills-0.100,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.040.011041%-0.051-0.052100%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.020.011763%0.082-0.05771%-0.01
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.00-0.03643%0.0200.002100%0.01
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00473%0.041-0.023100%0.02
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00560%0.052-0.0700%0.00
Doug Overton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.01847%-0.011-0.031100%0.01
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.00-0.00350%-0.002-0.042100%0.02
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.020.01861%0.055-0.102100%0.01
Kenny Anderson0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01425%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.06-0.001449%-0.061-0.03978%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.18-0.060.00621%-0.085-0.16250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.11.729.415.429.62.235.7136.2
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +29.6%
BOS -9.2%
DET +7.7%
DET +21.5%
DET +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETBOSNBADETBOSNBA
this game13.914.915.2110.092.0101.7
season14.114.7104.2102.4
opponent15.115.3103.3103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.316.914.911.113.9
BOS14.414.413.916.614.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindsey Hunter84840.66-0.160.82-0.1628-103814.113.20.8214.715.8-1.13
Grant Hill81810.62-0.120.75-0.0824-63013.316.7-3.4514.914.50.41
Terry Mills62630.490.010.47-0.011711612.915.6-2.6414.814.9-0.09
Jerome Williams69670.420.080.330.011441013.914.1-0.2716.212.14.09
Michael Curry39410.360.140.220.12810-214.013.90.1016.413.82.63
Don Reid18180.180.32-0.140.01612-616.213.42.7815.314.80.58
Jerry Stackhouse85840.020.48-0.46-0.16612-614.510.93.5414.417.2-2.85
Christian Laettner40400.010.49-0.49-0.05216-1414.013.90.1813.515.8-2.31
Jud Buechler220.000.50-0.500.06-220-229.514.0-4.537.515.0-7.51
Loy Vaught1111-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-321-2416.013.72.3112.515.2-2.70
Marcus Brown99-0.170.67-0.830.13-1028-3814.313.90.4313.015.0-2.04

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Williams28280.13-0.630.75-0.087-253216.914.12.7714.513.70.83
Doug Overton2323-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-141010.816.1-5.2413.414.1-0.66
Tony Battie3434-0.10-0.400.310.17-9-9015.814.41.3711.715.1-3.39
Dana Barros5554-0.20-0.300.10-0.14-2-161416.812.54.2314.113.70.41
Walter McCarty3433-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-13815.914.31.5913.814.0-0.27
Antoine Walker6767-0.29-0.21-0.080.09-13-5-814.116.4-2.2914.013.80.27
Kenny Anderson2627-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-14-4-1013.415.4-1.9413.414.1-0.68
Vitaly Potapenko6566-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.14-9-9014.615.3-0.7015.111.73.39
Paul Pierce8078-0.49-0.01-0.470.07-191-2014.317.2-2.9913.913.90.04
Adrian Griffin8890-0.640.14-0.780.01-224-2615.113.41.6413.914.2-0.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 91, UTA 790.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.02,0,0,093.7%
NYK 107, CLE 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,093.1%
DET 93, TOR 830.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,093.0%