inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 102 Excitement10.2 [49] MVPCuttino Mobley (HOU): +21.0%
Houston Rockets 97 Comeback4.2 [61] LVPCharles Barkley (HOU): -46.6%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00853%0.0100.0010%-0.02
Pat Garrity-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00250%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Bo Outlaw-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.00550%0.042-0.062100%0.04
Monty Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Corey Maggette-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.01958%0.093-0.14667%-0.01
Ben Wallace-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.07-0.031238%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Matt Harpring-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.0030%-0.061-0.0500%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.01729%-0.081-0.0400%0.00
Chris Gatling-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.04-0.090.011850%-0.082-0.06850%-0.03
Darrell Armstrong-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.2,-0.15-0.170.030.011143%0.046-0.186100%0.06
John Amaechi-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02,-0.17-0.10-0.07-0.011449%-0.004-0.16989%0.04

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.210.210.120.09-0.001574%0.262-0.05475%-0.01
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00467%0.032-0.044100%0.02
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00453%-0.0300.00757%-0.03
Shandon Anderson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.06-0.02743%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.01941%-0.073-0.06475%-0.01
Carlos Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.080.0010%-0.091-0.0620%-0.06
Walt Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.11-0.08-0.01538%-0.044-0.153100%0.03
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.23-0.23-0.08-0.15-0.001546%-0.143-0.09580%-0.08
Bryce Drew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24-0.24-0.10-0.14-0.00617%-0.072-0.1700%0.00
Charles Barkley0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.4,-0.47-0.47-0.16-0.300.011353%-0.018-0.45875%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.436.417.325.61.744.1154.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU -23.6%
ORL +15.3%
ORL +22.8%
ORL +40.1%
HOU -4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLHOUNBAORLHOUNBA
this game12.513.915.292.789.8101.7
season13.615.4100.4102.4
opponent14.615.4103.599.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL11.910.712.715.412.5
HOU11.713.815.115.913.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw68660.83-0.331.160.3915-102513.211.41.8213.115.2-2.03
John Amaechi65630.68-0.180.860.3312-71913.111.61.4614.013.80.14
Darrell Armstrong71700.67-0.170.840.467-2913.211.31.8613.015.6-2.63
Tariq Abdul-Wahad70680.56-0.060.620.2411-61713.211.21.9813.215.1-1.94
Chris Gatling63620.50-0.000.500.307-2912.212.9-0.7115.611.73.92
Matt Harpring38360.110.39-0.280.17-27-911.313.1-1.7815.613.12.53
Corey Maggette30310.010.49-0.48-0.1141312.812.40.4515.113.51.60
Pat Garrity1616-0.110.61-0.710.01-49-139.513.0-3.5215.513.71.85
Michael Doleac2426-0.110.61-0.71-0.05-27-913.112.30.7312.714.3-1.68
Chucky Atkins4239-0.130.63-0.76-0.07-27-911.213.3-2.0615.313.22.08
Monty Williams2626-0.200.70-0.900.04-813-219.613.4-3.8414.013.90.10
Ben Wallace3737-0.320.82-1.140.06-1318-3113.412.01.3911.715.1-3.42

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walt Williams60600.16-0.660.820.073-81112.915.1-2.2012.912.00.97
Tony Massenburg2224-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-3114.113.90.219.313.4-4.06
Kelvin Cato4142-0.13-0.370.23-0.130-5515.612.92.6710.913.5-2.56
Carlos Rogers1213-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-1-316.513.62.9012.512.5-0.05
Bryce Drew3943-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.17-3-2-115.113.31.8010.713.7-3.01
Steve Francis7070-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.23-2-3113.115.4-2.3513.510.72.84
Hakeem Olajuwon7068-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.27-2-3113.015.7-2.6713.610.72.94
Charles Barkley8183-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.27-2-3113.914.0-0.1013.59.34.21
Shandon Anderson6868-0.520.02-0.54-0.43-3-2-113.115.4-2.3412.412.6-0.18
Cuttino Mobley7779-0.590.09-0.68-0.30-105-1515.210.84.3312.113.6-1.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 75, SAC 710.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.08,090.7%
IND 92, BOS 870.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.32,0.37,090.3%
NJN 91, ATL 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.28,090.1%