NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	8.9 [100]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +32.7%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	4.5 [96]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -50.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,0.33	0.11	0.22	0.01	19	68%	0.51	2	-0.18	9	89%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.26,0.26,0.29	0.11	0.18	0.01	14	78%	0.36	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04
Derrick McKey	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	0.00	3	33%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.48	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.33,-0.39,-0.48,-0.48	-0.23	-0.27	-0.02	18	11%	-0.47	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	8	62%	0.15	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	2	86%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	7	73%	0.07	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	18	50%	0.06	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.08	-0.30	-0.02	9	36%	-0.30	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.19
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.25,-0.32,-0.28,-0.51	-0.51	-0.13	-0.37	0.00	23	42%	-0.38	3	-0.12	9	67%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.0	27.2	16.6	25.2	1.8	39.3	137.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +78.9%

IND +7.4%

BOS -26.6%

BOS -3.2%

BOS -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.5	100.0	95.6	100.9
season	15.9	15.1		99.3	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.9	14.7	17.3	14.1	15.7
BOS	15.8	17.4	16.2	14.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	84	84	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.49	8	-3	11	15.2	20.7	-5.56	15.8	15.3	0.56
Reggie Miller	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.39	8	-3	11	15.8	15.0	0.84	15.9	15.2	0.77
Austin Croshere	68	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-11	27	15.4	16.5	-1.12	16.2	14.7	1.43
Travis Best	53	51	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-12	29	14.7	17.0	-2.35	16.5	14.9	1.65
Jalen Rose	71	72	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.31	-8	13	-21	16.4	13.1	3.34	15.2	18.3	-3.11
Derrick McKey	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.36	-11	16	-27	15.9	15.6	0.35	14.1	16.5	-2.36
Al Harrington	70	70	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	7	-9	16.2	13.9	2.32	15.9	15.3	0.61
Sam Perkins	8	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	3	-1	15.2	15.7	-0.46	17.4	15.7	1.72
Tyus Edney	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	5	-5	13.0	15.7	-2.70	0.0	15.8	-15.80
Jeff Foster	5	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	10	-15	17.2	15.6	1.61	13.0	15.9	-2.90

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	36	39	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.07	4	-9	13	14.2	16.9	-2.71	16.3	15.2	1.10
Randy Brown	28	29	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-12	19	16.3	15.6	0.70	17.8	14.7	3.15
Walter McCarty	6	8	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-3	1	12.7	16.0	-3.36	12.2	16.0	-3.75
Tony Battie	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-2	-1	20.7	15.3	5.40	14.4	15.8	-1.36
Mark Blount	40	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-7	9	16.5	15.3	1.20	16.4	15.1	1.27
Adrian Griffin	6	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	17.0	15.7	1.28	16.6	15.6	1.04
Paul Pierce	83	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-5	5	15.8	16.0	-0.22	15.8	14.8	0.98
Antoine Walker	85	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.42	-3	-2	-1	16.0	12.7	3.36	16.0	12.2	3.75
Bryant Stith	68	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	3	-11	16.1	14.9	1.25	15.3	16.6	-1.33
Eric Williams	31	33	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.39	-7	2	-9	14.5	16.4	-1.90	14.6	16.3	-1.62
Milt Palacio	63	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	7	-19	15.6	16.3	-0.70	14.7	17.8	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.32,0.37,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.45,0.42,0	90.5%
IND 95, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.42,0	90.4%
ORL 102, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.15,0	90.3%