NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	9.3 [87]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +25.0%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	6.0 [367]		LVP	Darren Collison (IND): -21.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.16	0.12	0.03	11	79%	0.27	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Tyler Hansbrough	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18	0.05	0.13	0.00	6	68%	0.22	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.07
Paul George	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	6	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
David West	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.14,0.06	-0.06	0.12	0.00	10	46%	0.14	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.03
Dahntay Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	10	60%	0.19	6	-0.15	5	60%	-0.03
Lance Stephenson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	22%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.23,-0.22	-0.03	-0.18	0.01	9	37%	-0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	15	56%	0.18	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.11
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	17	54%	0.17	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.06
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.03	8	33%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.08
Rasual Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.19	2	-0.18	3	33%	-0.16
Anthony Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	2	12%	-0.10	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	32.8	15.7	30.5	2.4	44.5	154.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -15.1%

IND +23.5%

IND +27.2%

IND +14.3%

TOR -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	16.9	15.6	108.0	98.9	102.8
season	15.7	16.5		104.2	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		102.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.6	13.6	12.7	17.5	15.2
TOR	13.2	16.4	19.2	19.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	58	59	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-8	21	14.5	16.7	-2.17	18.4	14.2	4.15
Darren Collison	67	69	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-5	15	15.7	13.9	1.81	18.0	13.6	4.38
George Hill	57	60	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	3	-1	16.1	13.7	2.31	16.0	18.7	-2.68
Tyler Hansbrough	43	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	-3	11	14.9	15.5	-0.60	16.3	17.5	-1.24
David West	56	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	8	-11	16.0	14.0	2.00	17.3	16.3	1.05
Roy Hibbert	55	60	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	1	3	15.6	14.7	0.87	17.6	15.6	1.92
Lou Amundson	22	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	4	-3	13.2	15.9	-2.74	15.7	17.3	-1.63
Lance Stephenson	17	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	11.5	16.1	-4.60	13.2	17.8	-4.67
Danny Granger	35	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	15.1	15.3	-0.16	14.9	18.3	-3.39
Dahntay Jones	30	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	12	-19	16.4	14.7	1.71	17.9	16.4	1.49

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	22	22	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-3	1	16.1	17.2	-1.08	15.6	15.1	0.47
Anthony Carter	1	0	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-3	1	11.0	17.0	-5.98	0.0	15.2	-15.24
Gary Forbes	16	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-4	3	13.4	17.7	-4.22	11.3	16.2	-4.89
Jamaal Magloire	40	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-3	1	16.4	17.3	-0.82	14.6	15.8	-1.21
Rasual Butler	44	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-8	11	16.4	17.4	-1.02	15.6	14.9	0.68
James Johnson	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	4	-13	15.8	17.5	-1.70	13.0	16.4	-3.41
Leandro Barbosa	45	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-3	1	17.3	16.5	0.75	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Ed Davis	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.37	2	-7	9	17.2	16.5	0.67	16.2	13.8	2.44
Amir Johnson	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-4	3	17.4	16.3	1.08	15.8	14.6	1.21
Jose Calderon	75	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	17.7	13.4	4.22	16.2	11.3	4.89
DeMar DeRozan	76	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	2	-9	17.5	13.9	3.57	15.2	15.3	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.71,0.85,0.58,0	90.6%
IND 92, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.32,0.37,0	90.4%
LAL 90, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.72,0.84,0.58,0	90.1%