NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	75		Excitement	8.4 [192]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (NOH): +22.5%
Sacramento Kings	71		Comeback	2.5 [588]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (SAC): -28.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.15	0.00	9	73%	0.27	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
David West	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.11	-0.02	0.13	0.00	19	42%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DJ Mbenga	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.11	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	12	46%	-0.00	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	12	31%	-0.10	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Willie Green	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.17	-0.09	-0.01	9	11%	-0.14	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	14	21%	-0.20	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	56%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	4	122%	0.16	4	-0.17	1	0%	-0.04
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	7	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	15	47%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	11	28%	-0.03	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	12	35%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.13	0.01	13	32%	-0.15	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	5	21%	-0.08	4	-0.20	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.4	30.6	15.8	26.4	2.5	35.2	133.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +4.0%

NOH +10.5%

NOH +9.1%

NOH +31.7%

SAC -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAC	NBA	NOH	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	15.5	80.6	77.2	105.7
season	16.2	14.9		104.6	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.9		107.7	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.7	16.0	14.8	15.0	15.6
SAC	14.7	14.0	14.5	19.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	65	63	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.43	13	-9	22	15.6	15.7	-0.09	15.3	16.0	-0.65
Emeka Okafor	61	60	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.42	12	-8	20	16.1	14.7	1.46	15.4	15.7	-0.21
David West	70	69	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-8	20	15.8	15.2	0.58	15.6	15.4	0.17
Marco Belinelli	64	64	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.43	8	-4	12	15.0	16.9	-1.87	15.8	14.9	0.90
Chris Paul	76	76	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.34	11	-7	18	15.5	16.2	-0.76	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Marcus Thornton	17	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	11	-18	16.2	15.5	0.76	15.6	15.5	0.12
Willie Green	41	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	8	-12	15.1	16.0	-0.97	15.2	15.8	-0.59
DJ Mbenga	20	20	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	13	-22	16.3	15.4	0.88	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Jason Smith	34	34	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.06	-7	11	-18	14.5	16.3	-1.80	16.1	15.2	0.99
Quincy Pondexter	17	17	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.02	-9	13	-22	18.3	15.0	3.28	15.5	15.5	-0.06

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	31	30	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.05	8	-12	20	15.1	15.7	-0.59	15.3	15.8	-0.51
Jason Thompson	14	14	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-9	14	13.9	15.8	-1.96	18.2	15.2	3.06
Beno Udrih	46	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-5	6	15.2	15.8	-0.65	14.3	16.9	-2.57
Samuel Dalembert	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-1	-2	16.0	14.6	1.38	15.7	15.4	0.27
Luther Head	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.39	1	-5	6	16.3	13.1	3.14	15.7	15.5	0.21
DeMarcus Cousins	44	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	4	-12	15.4	15.6	-0.22	15.0	16.2	-1.20
Carl Landry	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-2	0	15.8	14.9	0.96	15.9	15.0	0.84
Tyreke Evans	69	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.46	-8	4	-12	15.0	17.1	-2.14	16.2	13.8	2.35
Donte Greene	62	64	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.32	-14	10	-24	15.4	15.8	-0.36	15.5	15.8	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, TOR 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	91.6%
PHI 109, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.57,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.05,0	91.5%
DAL 91, PHX 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.51,0.41,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.08,0	91.3%