NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	8.9 [135]		MVP	Don MacLean (PHI): +33.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	3.1 [59]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -39.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don MacLean	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.34,0.34	0.17	0.18	0.01	16	81%	0.42	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.06
Doug Overton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Adrian Caldwell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Michael Cage	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	0.01	11	58%	-0.03	7	-0.20	14	64%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.3,-0.43,-0.5,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.20	-0.20	-0.01	23	40%	-0.25	4	-0.15	12	58%	-0.09

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	17	51%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.03
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	69%	0.13	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	4	90%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	10	61%	0.11	4	-0.23	8	87%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.14,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	19	40%	-0.10	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.16	-0.23	0.00	16	34%	-0.22	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.6	27.2	15.7	26.2	1.7	42.8	137.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +23.3%

PHI +11.8%

PHI +5.8%

PHI +11.1%

MIL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.5	15.6	111.2	103.1	104.4
season	14.7	16.0		101.4	103.9
opponent	15.5	14.7		106.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	13.9	18.0	13.8	15.0
MIL	15.2	15.5	14.7	12.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don MacLean	61	60	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.15	21	-12	33	14.8	15.4	-0.63	14.9	14.0	0.89
Jerry Stackhouse	92	92	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	1	7	15.2	12.8	2.32	14.5	14.2	0.34
Allen Iverson	90	90	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	4	1	14.9	16.7	-1.89	14.4	16.7	-2.36
Adrian Caldwell	53	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	-1	11	14.8	15.3	-0.56	15.2	13.7	1.52
Michael Cage	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	12	-15	15.3	14.8	0.56	13.7	15.2	-1.52
Doug Overton	8	7	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	5	-1	16.7	14.9	1.89	16.7	14.4	2.36
Clar. Weatherspoon	43	42	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.06	-11	20	-31	15.0	15.0	0.06	14.0	14.9	-0.93
Rex Walters	38	38	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.05	-11	20	-31	17.1	13.7	3.38	13.7	15.1	-1.38

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Lang	44	44	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-12	15	14.9	14.2	0.62	15.8	14.4	1.38
Shawn Respert	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-9	9	17.2	14.4	2.84	15.2	15.0	0.25
David Wood	5	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-3	-3	20.2	14.2	5.98	18.8	14.8	3.99
Armen Gilliam	32	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	1	-11	14.6	14.5	0.15	13.0	16.0	-2.99
Vin Baker	82	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-10	11	14.8	13.0	1.80	15.9	9.6	6.26
Glenn Robinson	82	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	14.1	16.7	-2.61	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Ray Allen	92	93	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-6	3	14.2	20.2	-5.98	14.8	18.8	-3.99
Elliot Perry	93	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	0	-9	14.4	17.2	-2.84	15.0	15.2	-0.25
Johnny Newman	51	51	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	7	-23	14.4	14.7	-0.32	14.5	15.6	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.57,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, LAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.33,0.02,0	92.3%
IND 95, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.45,0.42,0	91.9%
DET 102, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.25,0.42,0	91.9%