NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	80		Excitement	8.4 [194]		MVP	Todd MacCulloch (PHI): +13.7%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	4.6 [406]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -46.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	0.00	5	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	7	62%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Billy Owens	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	8	36%	-0.07	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
George Lynch	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.03	7	62%	0.01	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.36,-0.36	-0.19	-0.24	-0.06	12	25%	-0.28	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.46	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.21,-0.24,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.41,-0.46	-0.25	-0.20	0.01	20	25%	-0.33	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	14	50%	0.05	3	-0.13	8	87%	0.04
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	15	58%	0.07	7	-0.23	8	75%	0.05
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	3	12%	-0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.18	-0.14	-0.01	6	25%	-0.23	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	30.2	15.6	28.2	2.3	43.2	147.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.0%

PHI -5.3%

PHX +28.7%

PHI -22.6%

PHX +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	PHX	NBA	PHI	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	14.5	15.2	85.1	88.4	101.7
season	15.0	14.8		99.5	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		96.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	19.0	15.1	14.9	16.0
PHX	13.2	12.9	14.3	17.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Billy Owens	52	53	0.37	-0.87	1.23	0.07	10	-14	24	16.0	15.9	0.11	13.9	15.3	-1.42
Larry Hughes	20	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-5	6	18.1	15.4	2.68	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Todd MacCulloch	44	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.07	-4	0	-4	15.5	16.4	-0.96	12.7	16.2	-3.57
Bruce Bowen	9	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-3	2	15.2	16.1	-0.85	11.2	14.9	-3.68
Nazr Mohammed	31	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	0	-4	17.5	15.3	2.23	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Tyrone Hill	54	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-3	2	16.2	15.7	0.46	16.6	11.6	5.00
Allen Iverson	77	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	0	-4	15.5	18.2	-2.74	14.5	14.3	0.25
Eric Snow	77	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	3	-10	15.5	18.2	-2.67	14.3	15.1	-0.77
Aaron McKie	29	30	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.52	-4	0	-4	16.8	15.6	1.11	16.8	13.4	3.42
George Lynch	77	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.48	-6	2	-8	15.7	17.1	-1.38	14.4	15.1	-0.76

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	57	56	1.10	-0.60	1.70	0.54	19	-15	34	14.2	15.0	-0.80	15.5	16.7	-1.17
Rodney Rogers	30	31	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	2	0	16.9	13.4	3.52	16.1	15.9	0.16
Jason Kidd	80	81	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-5	14	14.1	16.5	-2.34	16.1	15.2	0.97
Anfernee Hardaway	86	85	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	0	4	14.6	13.4	1.16	16.1	15.1	0.97
Tom Gugliotta	58	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	4	-4	15.5	12.9	2.63	16.9	14.5	2.41
Oliver Miller	41	38	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	1	2	13.3	15.4	-2.07	14.1	17.2	-3.12
Rex Chapman	35	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	5	-6	13.9	14.9	-1.01	15.1	16.5	-1.41
Randy Livingston	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	0.0	14.5	-14.49	2.0	16.1	-14.14
Luc Longley	43	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	6	-8	14.1	14.8	-0.65	17.0	15.1	1.95
Clifford Robinson	45	45	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.14	-14	18	-32	14.3	14.6	-0.31	16.4	15.6	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.52,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.66,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.85,0.96,1	91.4%
DAL 90, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	91.0%
LAL 94, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.31,0.4,0.27,0.38,0.72,0.85,0.72,1	90.7%