NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	5.2 [765]		MVP	Michael Smith (WAS): +7.2%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	1.2 [745]		LVP	Bimbo Coles (ATL): -22.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roshown McLeod	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	16	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	3	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	7	46%	-0.05	3	-0.07	12	67%	-0.04
Jim Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	15	46%	-0.04	6	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Bimbo Coles	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23	-0.20	-0.05	-0.02	14	31%	-0.07	6	-0.16	1	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	71%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	16	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Laron Profit	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	15	40%	-0.00	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	13	22%	-0.10	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.4	27.5	15.3	25.3	1.5	39.2	140.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +28.5%

WAS +1.2%

ATL -6.0%

WAS +25.0%

WAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	15.2	87.0	94.9	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		99.3	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.2		104.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.8	13.1	16.8	14.3	14.1
WAS	14.9	13.6	14.5	16.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	14	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-4	1	13.0	14.3	-1.30	14.8	14.8	0.01
Jason Terry	22	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-5	3	13.7	14.2	-0.50	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Chris Crawford	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-2	-3	13.6	14.3	-0.70	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Alan Henderson	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-8	9	14.4	13.4	0.98	14.8	15.0	-0.29
Anthony Johnson	30	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	14.1	14.1	-0.08	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Lorenzen Wright	30	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	2	-11	14.7	13.9	0.88	14.1	15.1	-1.04
Jim Jackson	80	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-10	13	14.0	14.4	-0.35	15.4	12.9	2.47
Roshown McLeod	77	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	14.0	14.4	-0.35	15.0	14.1	0.91
Bimbo Coles	68	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	2	-11	14.4	13.6	0.73	14.4	15.6	-1.17
Dikembe Mutombo	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.32	-2	-5	3	14.1	14.2	-0.06	15.1	13.9	1.19

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	69	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-7	21	15.7	12.8	2.91	13.4	15.6	-2.21
Laron Profit	18	15	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-4	15	14.7	14.9	-0.13	14.5	14.1	0.41
Juwan Howard	63	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	2	3	15.3	14.0	1.26	14.3	13.8	0.54
Michael Smith	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	2	3	15.5	13.9	1.58	14.0	14.3	-0.24
Gerard King	29	30	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	-2	11	15.2	14.7	0.58	13.0	14.6	-1.65
Ike Austin	45	47	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	-4	15	14.0	15.5	-1.44	15.0	13.3	1.70
Mitch Richmond	46	50	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	3	1	15.6	14.2	1.38	15.0	13.2	1.76
Tracy Murray	36	35	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	5	-3	14.0	15.3	-1.26	13.8	14.3	-0.54
Aaron Williams	41	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	6	-5	13.8	15.6	-1.75	14.3	14.0	0.33
Richard Hamilton	35	34	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.22	-8	15	-23	13.9	15.3	-1.41	12.8	14.8	-2.01
Jahidi White	25	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.29	-12	19	-31	15.9	14.5	1.46	13.7	14.2	-0.54
Chris Whitney	30	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	14	-21	12.8	15.7	-2.91	15.5	13.5	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ORL 85, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
LAC 86, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%