NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	5.3 [763]		MVP	CJ Wilcox (LAC): +8.9%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	1.6 [843]		LVP	Pablo Prigioni (LAC): -19.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Wilcox	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.01	0.07	13	73%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.01	0.07	16	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Branden Dawson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	17	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.22	-0.01	-0.04	15	27%	-0.09	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Leuer	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.05	8	89%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	19	52%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Alan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.02	-0.07	16	30%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	0.01	-0.00	14	40%	-0.00	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	26.1	14.7	25.2	1.8	43.0	139.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +20.8%

PHX +14.1%

PHX +20.9%

LAC -4.6%

LAC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	13.8	14.9	100.0	108.6	105.1
season	14.8	14.4		106.6	100.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.3	13.2	15.1	13.0	13.6
PHX	12.4	14.0	14.9	14.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Branden Dawson	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-15	21	11.5	13.9	-2.38	17.8	13.2	4.60
CJ Wilcox	62	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-13	17	13.7	13.5	0.24	14.3	13.2	1.07
Luc Mbah a Moute	22	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-1	-7	15.0	13.2	1.82	12.7	14.1	-1.38
Jeff Green	57	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-3	-3	13.2	14.1	-0.95	12.9	14.8	-1.87
Wesley Johnson	73	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-14	19	13.6	13.7	-0.07	14.3	12.6	1.75
Cole Aldrich	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.24	1	-10	11	14.4	12.9	1.50	14.7	12.9	1.78
Paul Pierce	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	2	-13	13.9	13.4	0.48	13.8	13.9	-0.10
Jeff Ayres	45	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	3	-15	12.9	14.1	-1.26	12.6	14.7	-2.14
Austin Rivers	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	0	-9	13.8	13.3	0.54	13.7	14.0	-0.32
Pablo Prigioni	88	88	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.15	-15	6	-21	13.4	14.7	-1.31	13.5	15.4	-1.90

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	-4	17	13.3	14.5	-1.21	13.8	13.4	0.43
Jon Leuer	45	44	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	2	5	13.9	13.8	0.08	13.5	13.7	-0.19
Alex Len	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-2	13	13.4	14.4	-0.98	13.7	13.5	0.11
Ronnie Price	39	39	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	-4	17	13.3	14.1	-0.81	13.9	13.4	0.50
PJ Tucker	65	66	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	4	1	13.8	13.9	-0.09	13.7	13.4	0.36
Alan Williams	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	7	-5	14.1	13.6	0.56	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Archie Goodwin	66	66	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.27	-4	13	-17	14.1	13.3	0.81	13.4	13.9	-0.50
Chase Budinger	36	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	9	-9	14.2	13.6	0.53	13.4	13.7	-0.27
Mirza Teletovic	60	61	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	7	-5	13.8	13.9	-0.08	13.7	13.5	0.19
John Jenkins	46	46	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	13	-17	14.5	13.3	1.21	13.4	13.8	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	95.3%
MIN 91, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DEN 85, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%