inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 85 Excitement4.5 [900] MVPNene (DEN): +4.2%
Houston Rockets 102 Comeback1.1 [1117] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -25.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01581%0.072-0.03683%0.01
Andre Miller0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.031358%0.023-0.00786%0.00
Jon Barry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00658%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Francisco Elson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney White0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02843%-0.0100.00580%-0.00
Chris Andersen-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.01436%-0.052-0.04367%-0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.010.01629%-0.061-0.032100%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.02-0.03826%-0.072-0.033100%0.02
Marcus Camby-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.020.01729%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.250,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.24,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.20-0.030.031447%-0.088-0.171070%-0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Torraye Braggs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.04546%0.0300.00367%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.022125%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02879%0.093-0.07887%0.02
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.00-0.021145%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Mike Wilks00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.011242%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.02856%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.11-0.00-0.071152%0.004-0.041155%-0.05
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.040.010.031652%-0.013-0.06887%0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.03250%0.015-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.33.735.220.630.23.733.3157.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +47.8%
DEN -4.0%
HOU +5.3%
HOU +5.4%
DEN -4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENHOUNBADENHOUNBA
this game15.215.015.789.5106.2100.5
season14.916.5101.698.8
opponent15.615.497.1101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.514.817.612.915.2
HOU15.114.613.117.115.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Barry31310.08-0.580.65-0.106-232916.114.81.2816.514.22.35
Rodney White670.00-0.500.50-0.093-202312.015.4-3.4218.014.73.28
Francisco Elson1618-0.00-0.500.49-0.093-202313.515.5-2.0418.714.14.63
Earl Boykins3736-0.04-0.460.43-0.071-181914.915.4-0.4216.614.02.56
Chris Andersen3231-0.09-0.410.32-0.121-181916.214.71.4414.615.1-0.51
Nikoloz Tskitishvili3232-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-141114.615.5-0.8715.714.61.09
Ryan Bowen1314-0.12-0.380.270.00-4-13914.615.3-0.6817.714.53.23
Nene6261-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-12-5-715.514.60.9114.515.8-1.32
Marcus Camby4546-0.42-0.08-0.340.19-214-2515.115.3-0.2114.315.6-1.34
Carmelo Anthony7473-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.01-15-2-1316.012.33.6814.317.0-2.68
Andre Miller6972-0.510.01-0.520.08-203-2314.616.8-2.2714.217.3-3.17
Voshon Lenard5859-0.530.03-0.570.17-247-3115.115.4-0.3413.617.2-3.59

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jim Jackson61610.450.050.40-0.2624-73114.415.9-1.4115.015.6-0.56
Cuttino Mobley85850.440.060.39-0.1119-22114.617.8-3.2315.413.71.68
Yao Ming41400.420.080.34-0.021521314.015.7-1.7216.414.32.07
Steve Francis75720.410.090.33-0.051611513.918.7-4.7515.414.60.78
Kelvin Cato77790.330.170.16-0.111521314.417.1-2.6115.016.0-0.96
Torraye Braggs33300.150.35-0.20-0.0989-117.113.83.3012.316.5-4.19
Moochie Norris28290.140.36-0.220.05314-1117.513.93.6414.715.4-0.73
Maurice Taylor35360.140.36-0.220.11116-1515.314.80.5617.313.93.44
Bostjan Nachbar36360.050.45-0.400.29-825-3316.514.02.4715.515.00.48
Mike Wilks320.000.50-0.500.09-320-2319.314.84.529.015.3-6.33
Scott Padgett65-0.040.54-0.580.10-522-2714.315.0-0.6710.015.5-5.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 96, OKC 1140.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,196.0%
HOU 94, MEM 1030.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.8%
WAS 96, CHI 1030.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,195.8%