NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	5.1 [792]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +15.5%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.0 [1094]		LVP	Andrew DeClercq (CLE): -14.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.03	-0.03	9	73%	0.13	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.04	0.01	0.05	12	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	11	61%	0.13	6	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Benoit Benjamin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.03	-0.06	20	35%	-0.07	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Andrew DeClercq	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	12	38%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.05	-0.04	16	67%	0.21	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.03	-0.06	8	53%	0.10	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	14	50%	-0.02	6	-0.11	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.5	32.3	16.4	25.5	1.7	35.0	142.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +21.9%

NYK +10.9%

CLE -3.0%

NYK +13.4%

NYK +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.2	92.3	98.9	101.7
season	14.1	16.1		98.0	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.3		98.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	14.8	14.7	15.8	15.0
NYK	14.6	18.0	16.6	16.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Benoit Benjamin	2	3	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-12	16	11.0	15.1	-4.11	7.7	16.6	-8.89
Shawn Kemp	59	61	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-10	12	14.6	15.7	-1.07	16.7	15.4	1.32
Trajan Langdon	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	10.0	15.2	-5.19	15.7	16.3	-0.54
Danny Ferry	40	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.31	7	-15	22	16.1	14.2	1.88	15.7	16.7	-1.05
Andre Miller	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-6	4	18.3	14.0	4.35	16.3	16.3	0.06
Wesley Person	63	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.40	8	-16	24	15.0	15.0	0.08	16.6	15.5	1.14
Andrew DeClercq	53	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-3	-2	13.7	16.8	-3.13	17.0	15.3	1.70
Brevin Knight	69	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	14.0	18.3	-4.35	16.3	16.3	-0.06
Cedric Henderson	38	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.14	-17	9	-26	15.0	15.1	-0.08	16.4	16.2	0.20
Bob Sura	78	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	3	-14	15.2	13.8	1.37	15.9	18.1	-2.12
Mark Bryant	28	26	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	0.02	-24	16	-40	17.1	14.1	2.96	15.7	16.5	-0.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	80	79	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.18	25	-17	42	16.3	15.9	0.40	15.2	14.0	1.18
Marcus Camby	64	62	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.11	13	-5	18	16.5	15.9	0.59	14.3	16.7	-2.40
Larry Johnson	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-4	16	16.0	17.0	-0.97	14.5	16.8	-2.31
Allan Houston	87	85	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	6	-4	16.2	17.0	-0.78	14.5	22.8	-8.36
Charlie Ward	63	60	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	5	-2	16.1	16.6	-0.54	14.6	15.9	-1.34
Kurt Thomas	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	12	-16	16.7	16.0	0.66	16.7	13.8	2.81
Chris Childs	42	41	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.29	-7	15	-22	16.2	16.3	-0.10	15.9	14.3	1.56
Chris Dudley	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	7	-6	16.8	16.2	0.56	17.7	14.7	2.93
John Wallace	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	13	-18	16.2	16.3	-0.12	17.2	14.7	2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.95,1	94.1%
UTA 106, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.57,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
DET 80, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%