NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	5.7 [680]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): +18.7%
Sacramento Kings	114		Comeback	1.1 [840]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -6.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	15	51%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.06	12	71%	0.11	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	13	42%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Joe Ingles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.04	0.07	12	64%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.02	0.02	13	82%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.03	16	54%	0.12	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	74%	0.14	5	-0.09	7	86%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	14	61%	0.14	5	-0.10	10	60%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	26.5	14.5	26.3	2.3	35.6	133.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +49.3%

SAC +5.1%

UTA -6.3%

SAC +1.9%

UTA -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.0	14.9	112.8	121.3	105.1
season	16.3	13.9		104.6	104.8
opponent	14.6	15.0		107.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	18.5	15.0	17.5	16.6
SAC	12.7	15.8	12.7	15.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Withey	25	24	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.12	8	-16	24	16.0	16.9	-0.92	17.0	13.0	4.03
Alec Burks	56	56	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-19	30	16.4	17.1	-0.70	15.9	11.2	4.64
Trevor Booker	53	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.31	6	-14	20	16.6	16.6	0.01	15.0	12.7	2.28
Trey Burke	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-7	6	15.7	17.4	-1.69	13.5	14.4	-0.90
Raul Neto	23	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	3	-14	16.7	16.6	0.13	11.8	14.8	-2.97
Joe Ingles	25	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-5	2	18.3	16.0	2.24	16.0	13.3	2.67
Trey Lyles	35	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	4	-16	17.3	16.3	1.03	12.7	14.8	-2.12
Gordon Hayward	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	15.8	20.0	-4.21	13.3	16.9	-3.63
Rodney Hood	66	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	7	-22	17.4	14.7	2.69	13.5	15.1	-1.55
Derrick Favors	69	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	8	-24	16.9	16.0	0.92	13.0	17.0	-4.03

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	81	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-7	22	13.5	17.1	-3.57	17.6	11.5	6.15
Rudy Gay	71	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-6	20	13.1	16.9	-3.86	16.1	18.2	-2.03
Rajon Rondo	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	2	4	13.3	17.4	-4.09	15.9	19.7	-3.75
Ben McLemore	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	-2	12	13.3	14.8	-1.50	17.7	15.3	2.42
DeMarcus Cousins	73	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	4	0	14.1	13.8	0.31	16.5	17.0	-0.45
Kosta Koufos	33	34	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	7	-6	15.8	13.0	2.71	15.4	17.3	-1.92
Darren Collison	45	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	13	-18	15.4	12.7	2.77	17.2	16.1	1.05
Marco Belinelli	39	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	13	-18	15.8	12.7	3.11	16.1	17.0	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.57,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 75, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.96,1,1,1	94.5%
CLE 84, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
LAC 99, VAN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.96,1	94.1%