NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	5.6 [422]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): +11.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	105		Comeback	1.1 [501]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -17.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	9	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Darrick Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.05	2	-0.08	10	70%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	67%	0.06	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	56%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	17	47%	-0.05	4	-0.12	11	73%	-0.03

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	20	61%	0.16	2	-0.05	17	94%	0.06
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	13	55%	0.03	6	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.6	27.2	15.8	24.3	2.3	42.5	137.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +4.3%

VAN +18.7%

VAN +7.1%

VAN +14.8%

VAN +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	VAN	NBA	LAC	VAN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.8	103.1	107.1	99.6
season	16.7	16.4		97.5	95.7
opponent	15.1	14.7		105.4	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.7	16.7	14.3	13.7	14.8
VAN	13.0	15.3	16.3	15.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Nesby	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-10	14	17.6	14.0	3.53	16.5	14.4	2.03
Darrick Martin	47	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	0	-6	15.3	14.4	0.87	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Maurice Taylor	65	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-3	0	14.9	14.7	0.15	14.6	15.4	-0.80
Eric Piatkowski	54	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	13.0	17.1	-4.14	14.3	15.8	-1.52
Lorenzen Wright	64	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-2	-2	14.3	15.9	-1.59	14.4	15.9	-1.49
James Robinson	42	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-5	4	17.1	13.0	4.14	15.8	14.3	1.52
Sherman Douglas	49	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-6	6	14.4	15.3	-0.87	15.0	14.7	0.29
Lamond Murray	75	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	4	-14	14.0	17.6	-3.53	14.4	16.5	-2.03
Michael Olowokandi	63	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	-1	-4	15.3	13.9	1.42	15.7	13.4	2.24

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mack	68	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-5	16	14.5	15.7	-1.23	15.3	13.7	1.66
Mike Bibby	83	81	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-1	8	14.8	15.1	-0.30	14.9	14.5	0.41
Bryant Reeves	52	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	5	-4	15.1	14.6	0.47	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Cherokee Parks	54	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-5	16	13.7	16.3	-2.66	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	4	-2	14.4	16.6	-2.23	14.1	17.5	-3.38
Tony Massenburg	57	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	3	0	14.6	15.2	-0.63	13.9	16.1	-2.16
Jason Sasser	20	19	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	2	2	16.6	14.4	2.23	17.5	14.1	3.38
Carl Herrera	23	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	7	-8	17.2	14.2	3.00	17.2	14.0	3.25
DeJuan Wheat	14	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	16.2	14.7	1.56	16.0	14.6	1.37
Pete Chilcutt	10	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	8	-10	16.4	14.7	1.70	17.3	14.6	2.78
Felipe Lopez	31	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	11	-16	15.2	14.7	0.51	13.1	15.6	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.57,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAC 91, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
SAS 86, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.8%