NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	5.5 [679]		MVP	Grant Hill (DET): +16.9%
Detroit Pistons	105		Comeback	1.0 [821]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -11.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Steven Smith	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	16	63%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	12	62%	0.10	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	15	56%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	33%	-0.05
Drew Barry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	15	39%	-0.07	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	19	60%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.06	0.03	17	66%	0.17	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	9	92%	0.23	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.06
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	13	52%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	25.5	17.5	26.9	2.0	33.0	133.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +16.2%

DET +13.9%

ATL -4.3%

DET +13.7%

DET +10.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	16.4	15.6	110.1	119.3	102.5
season	16.1	15.9		105.3	102.8
opponent	15.9	16.0		101.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.3	14.9	18.2	15.5	16.2
DET	13.7	17.9	17.8	16.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Barry	24	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-9	11	14.8	16.6	-1.81	14.9	16.9	-2.05
Christian Laettner	58	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.34	8	-15	23	14.6	19.0	-4.36	16.6	16.0	0.65
Anthony Miller	16	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-4	1	16.7	16.0	0.65	15.6	16.5	-0.97
Alan Henderson	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	16.5	15.1	1.42	16.1	17.4	-1.31
Tyrone Corbin	62	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	1	-9	16.6	15.1	1.55	17.4	13.9	3.55
Eldridge Recasner	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-3	-1	16.1	16.5	-0.34	16.3	17.0	-0.69
Dikembe Mutombo	64	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.19	-12	5	-17	16.6	15.1	1.50	15.7	18.3	-2.62
Steven Smith	76	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	5	-17	16.6	13.5	3.16	16.9	13.2	3.70

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	81	82	0.83	-0.34	1.17	0.31	18	-11	29	16.5	15.1	1.35	16.4	13.9	2.50
Joe Dumars	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-5	17	16.6	15.7	0.82	16.7	14.3	2.40
Don Reid	44	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-10	27	17.2	15.6	1.64	18.8	13.4	5.39
Jerry Stackhouse	51	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	6	-5	17.8	14.4	3.46	15.6	17.1	-1.53
Bison Dele	60	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	-5	17	16.6	15.9	0.67	16.0	16.6	-0.59
Rick Mahorn	28	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.37	-5	12	-17	15.9	16.6	-0.67	16.6	16.0	0.59
Lindsey Hunter	49	49	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	4	-1	16.0	16.9	-0.92	17.1	15.0	2.15
Charles O'Bannon	5	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	13	-19	10.6	16.7	-6.13	10.0	16.4	-6.45
Malik Sealy	10	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	14	-21	11.7	17.0	-5.29	11.3	16.7	-5.37
Jerome Williams	22	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	17	-27	14.6	17.0	-2.39	11.2	17.7	-6.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 84, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
HOU 79, LAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.81,0.78,0.96,0.96,1	94.1%
UTA 106, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.57,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%