inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 103 Excitement5.4 [450] MVPHorace Grant (ORL): +16.6%
Chicago Bulls 83 Comeback1.9 [504] LVPAnfernee Hardaway (ORL): -18.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Horace Grant0.170,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.050.09-0.021158%0.1700.002100%0.01
Michael Doleac0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.030.02-0.061041%0.0500.00250%-0.00
Derek Strong0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.020.04583%0.0500.002100%0.01
Bo Outlaw0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.02870%0.071-0.03450%-0.03
Nick Anderson0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.03-0.01757%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Matt Harpring0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.020.021064%0.082-0.06250%-0.00
Dan Schayes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dominique Wilkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
B.J. Armstrong-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.090,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.030.03871%0.045-0.1310%-0.02
Ike Austin-0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.020.00755%0.034-0.138100%0.06
Anfernee Hardaway-0.180,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.14-0.030.00822%-0.113-0.072100%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.00560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Bill Wennington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.020.04875%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Charles R. Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.002150%0.123-0.0700%0.00
Rusty LaRue0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.01950%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kornel David0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0420%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.011442%-0.041-0.04580%-0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.011457%0.055-0.142100%0.01
Dickey Simpkins0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.03-0.03636%0.003-0.10250%-0.01
Cory Carr0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.05-0.011050%0.044-0.1400%0.00
Corey Benjamin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.030.02533%-0.091-0.0320%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.323.530.424.42.324.6130.9
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +14.5%
ORL +17.0%
ORL +10.4%
ORL +10.4%
CHI -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHINBAORLCHINBA
this game15.015.515.8108.488.399.6
season16.116.798.090.6
opponent15.415.6101.195.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.016.016.613.515.0
CHI15.414.615.416.515.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Harpring53520.56-0.060.62-0.0621-12214.415.8-1.3914.716.5-1.78
Darrell Armstrong59590.350.150.200.14713-615.214.70.4616.513.82.70
Horace Grant50510.320.180.150.12713-615.314.60.7015.815.10.69
Michael Doleac46460.320.180.13-0.03128415.114.90.1915.415.6-0.19
Bo Outlaw44420.270.230.05-0.08128415.614.51.0416.015.00.96
Anfernee Hardaway65640.260.240.020.05713-615.214.60.6015.615.10.54
Ike Austin44430.180.32-0.130.04515-1015.814.31.4616.015.00.94
Derek Strong21200.180.32-0.15-0.18128413.015.6-2.5215.715.40.29
B.J. Armstrong36350.150.35-0.20-0.23137614.715.2-0.4613.816.5-2.70
Dan Schayes550.000.50-0.50-0.09317-147.215.4-8.2412.015.7-3.66
Dominique Wilkins550.000.50-0.50-0.09317-147.215.4-8.2412.015.7-3.66
Nick Anderson4748-0.090.59-0.69-0.03-222-2416.313.82.5115.615.40.19

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bill Wennington31310.03-0.530.570.18-5-151016.115.20.9412.616.2-3.61
Kornel David1414-0.06-0.440.390.06-4-161213.215.9-2.6512.415.5-3.03
Charles R. Jones4142-0.11-0.390.27-0.08-1-191814.716.1-1.3916.014.21.73
Corey Benjamin2828-0.15-0.350.210.06-7-13614.615.8-1.1813.115.8-2.65
Cory Carr6061-0.19-0.310.120.13-11-9-215.615.30.2714.815.5-0.72
Toni Kukoc7373-0.20-0.300.090.09-10-10016.013.62.3816.211.15.04
Ron Harper6465-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-11-9-215.515.50.0015.813.32.55
Rusty LaRue5353-0.39-0.11-0.270.17-19-1-1816.114.71.3914.216.0-1.73
Mark Bryant3839-0.520.02-0.54-0.11-14-6-815.415.5-0.0314.115.7-1.58
Dickey Simpkins6869-0.540.04-0.57-0.01-18-2-1615.315.8-0.4716.112.04.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 99, MIA 870.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,093.9%
SAS 93, MEM 830.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,093.7%
ATL 103, CHI 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,093.7%