NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	5.8 [395]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): +21.3%
New Jersey Nets	115		Comeback	1.6 [299]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -8.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	11	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Gatling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Haywoode Workman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	117%	0.11	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.03	0.02	24	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	80%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.06	0.03	10	62%	0.00	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.06	0.00	24	66%	0.24	1	-0.02	14	79%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	12	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	112%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	73%	0.06	4	-0.07	12	92%	0.03
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
William Cunningham	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	27.5	15.7	22.1	1.7	28.3	122.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +23.4%

NJN +1.3%

NJN +12.3%

NJN +9.1%

NJN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.8	110.3	118.6	99.6
season	15.8	15.0		102.4	96.5
opponent	15.6	16.4		100.6	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	15.1	14.8	15.9	15.1
NJN	15.0	14.9	13.4	15.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Grant	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	5.5	15.3	-9.75	22.0	14.5	7.52
Robert Traylor	27	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-5	2	16.0	14.7	1.31	15.2	14.4	0.86
Sam Cassell	58	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.27	6	-14	20	14.4	16.0	-1.59	14.8	14.3	0.49
Ervin Johnson	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-6	4	15.0	15.1	-0.18	13.5	15.5	-2.00
Michael Curry	59	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-10	12	14.0	16.6	-2.60	14.8	14.3	0.53
Chris Gatling	42	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-6	4	15.7	14.6	1.13	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Armen Gilliam	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	2	-12	14.9	15.3	-0.38	14.5	14.9	-0.41
Ray Allen	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	1	-10	14.5	16.9	-2.37	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Tim Thomas	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	8	-24	16.4	13.4	3.00	15.4	13.7	1.63
Haywoode Workman	68	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	2	-12	15.7	13.6	2.14	14.5	14.9	-0.39

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	92	93	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.22	17	-9	26	14.6	14.8	-0.17	15.5	4.5	11.01
Mark Hendrickson	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.33	9	-1	10	14.9	13.5	1.40	15.6	12.8	2.72
Jamie Feick	77	77	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	14.7	14.3	0.43	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Lucious Harris	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	2	4	14.4	15.2	-0.86	15.6	13.7	1.94
Kendall Gill	86	86	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	4	0	14.8	13.3	1.54	15.0	15.5	-0.45
William Cunningham	33	34	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	-3	14	13.8	15.1	-1.29	15.4	14.9	0.55
Gheorghe Muresan	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	22.0	14.5	7.52	5.5	15.3	-9.75
Chris Carr	14	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	9	-10	12.6	15.0	-2.42	13.6	15.3	-1.66
Elliot Perry	34	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	15	-22	15.2	14.3	0.83	12.6	16.3	-3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIL 90, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
WAS 111, SAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%