NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	111		Excitement	6.1 [604]		MVP	Otto Porter (WAS): +26.3%
Sacramento Kings	120		Comeback	1.2 [941]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -23.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.08	0.01	11	91%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	8	88%	0.20	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	4	85%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Kelly Oubre	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.06	21	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	27%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
John Wall	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	16	38%	-0.11	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	5	100%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	7	83%	0.17	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	3	117%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.03	12	58%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	18	64%	0.17	5	-0.13	9	67%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	28.0	14.8	22.8	1.8	31.2	125.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +38.7%

WAS -1.1%

WAS -3.0%

SAC +15.8%

WAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	13.5	13.5	14.9	105.7	111.1	105.1
season	13.8	13.9		104.1	104.8
opponent	14.6	15.1		107.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.4	12.8	13.4	15.7	13.5
SAC	13.3	13.0	14.8	13.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-12	15	11.1	13.8	-2.70	10.9	13.8	-2.93
John Wall	87	89	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-12	15	13.6	13.1	0.48	13.6	13.1	0.52
Markieff Morris	68	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-11	13	13.2	14.1	-0.89	14.0	12.6	1.35
Nene	51	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-9	9	12.4	14.6	-2.16	12.9	14.1	-1.26
Otto Porter	60	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-6	3	13.0	14.2	-1.22	13.7	13.4	0.31
Ramon Sessions	22	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	12.3	13.8	-1.50	12.9	13.7	-0.85
Jared Dudley	37	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	14.2	13.1	1.10	12.7	13.9	-1.17
Marcin Gortat	60	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	1	-11	14.4	12.3	2.05	14.0	12.9	1.11
Garrett Temple	54	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	0	-9	13.9	13.1	0.83	13.5	13.6	-0.13
Bradley Beal	75	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.08	-16	7	-23	14.2	11.7	2.53	13.9	12.6	1.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	30	31	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.03	14	-5	19	13.4	13.6	-0.14	15.2	12.8	2.44
Darren Collison	71	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	2	5	13.0	14.6	-1.57	13.6	13.2	0.40
Omri Casspi	60	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	5	-1	13.0	14.2	-1.13	13.6	13.4	0.18
Rudy Gay	76	74	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	3	3	13.6	13.4	0.14	13.2	14.2	-0.98
Kosta Koufos	34	34	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	2	5	13.4	13.6	-0.27	14.9	12.9	1.99
Willie Cauley-Stein	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	4	1	13.5	13.5	0.02	14.0	13.0	0.96
DeMarcus Cousins	74	71	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	7	-5	13.6	13.4	0.27	12.9	14.9	-1.99
Quincy Acy	29	27	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	6	-3	14.4	13.2	1.25	13.2	13.6	-0.43
Seth Curry	38	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	12	-15	14.3	13.1	1.12	13.2	13.6	-0.40
Rajon Rondo	77	74	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	9	-9	13.7	13.1	0.62	12.8	15.2	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 82, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
BOS 79, OKC 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%
IND 61, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.55,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%